New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview
Carlos Rodon and the Yankees will host the Red Sox on Sunday, with the game getting started at 1:35 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. New York is 86-63 and is first in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 75-74 and are third in the division.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -176 compared to the Red Sox at +147. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and this game will be televised on YES.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Boston Red Sox odds
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Red Sox are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Yankees are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- The Red Sox have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Boston cruised to a 7-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +164 on the money line.
Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss. Brayan Bello put together a good outing for the Red Sox, getting the win after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run.
Trevor Story had a three-hit game for Boston, scoring one run and driving in one. Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu each had two RBIs. As for the Yankees, DJ LeMahieu drove in their only run.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is 75-74 overall and 11 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. In the division, they are 21-21, and they trail the Orioles by nine games for the second spot in the AL East. The Red Sox are on the road today, and they are 40-34 as the visiting team this year.
As the favorite, the Red Sox are 41-33 this year and 34-41 as the underdog. Boston has an overall series record of 22-18-6 this year, and they have won two straight series. Currently, they are losing their series vs. the Yankees, with New York leading 2-1.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 43-31 overall. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and are 3-0 as the underdog in that span. The Red Sox have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game on the road this season.
When the Boston Red Sox play on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-67. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 25-16. In 63 of their games, the line has been set at over 8.5 runs, which accounts for 42.3% of their games. In 45 games, the line has been set at under 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.2% of their games.
Boston is sending Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he comes in with a record of 8-14 and an ERA of 4.09. Crawford has made 30 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.08. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss vs. the Orioles, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs, six hits, and two walks. He has lost each of his last four starts. Crawford’s ERA at home is 4.12, compared to 4.52 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .255, which is 4th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they have the best BABIP in the league this season.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s top power threats this season. Devers leads the team with 83 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 28 homers. O’Neill is right behind him with 30 home runs and is batting .254 for the season. In his last 10 games, O’Neill has gone 9/36 with five homers.
With an overall record of 86-63, the Yankees lead the Orioles by two games for the AL East lead. The Yankees are 24-24 against other AL East teams this season. New York is 41-33 at home compared to 45-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 68-56 this season, and they are 18-7 as the underdog.
New York has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 27-15-4 this season. The Yankees have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games. At home, the Yankees have won two straight series.
When betting the run line with the Yankees, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, as they are 44-31 on the run line away from home. They have a run line record of 32-42 at home, where they have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game. Overall, the Yankees are 76-73 vs. the run line, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. They have been favored in 124 games and have a run line record of 55-69 in those games.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Yankees games is 79-65, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 32-21. In 51 of their games this season, the line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 34.2% of their games. In 45 games, the line has been set lower than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.2% of their games.
Carlos Rodón will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Royals on September 9th, he went six innings, giving up four hits, two earned runs, and one homer. In that outing, he had nine strikeouts. Rodón has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 14-9 with a 4.15 ERA. Looking back over his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. Before that, he had won three straight decisions. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 3.62 at home compared to 5.56 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees offense is not only the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 2nd in runs per game (5) and have the league’s top offense in terms of home runs. In terms of batting average, they are 8th in the league and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are not only the team’s top two home run hitters, but Judge’s 130 RBIs are the best in the league, and Soto’s 101 RBIs are 7th in the MLB.
Over his last six games, Aaron Judge has gone 7/22 with a home run and five RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 with a homer and four RBIs in that stretch. DJ LeMahieu is on a five-game hitting streak, and Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have hit safely in four straight games.
Our prediction for this Red Sox and Yankees matchup is to take the over, as we see the Yankees coming out on top by a final score of 6-5. However, with the money line payout for a Yankees win sitting at -176, we recommend taking the over at -112.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to Kutter Crawford with five. However, Crawford is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Rodón, and we have him going just four innings.
Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with nine hits compared to the Yankees with eight. However, the Yankees are projected to hit more home runs, and you could look to pair a Yankees win with the over in a same-game parlay.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Rob Refsnyder | Questionable | Wrist |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Brennan Bernardino | Out | Forearm |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Tanner Houck | Questionable | Arm |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Isaiah Campbell | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
