New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Red Sox and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. First pitch for Friday’s matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.
The Yankees are 85-62 and are currently on a two-game winning streak. They are favored on the money line today at -148. The Red Sox have a record of 74-73 and are starting Tanner Houck. Boston is +125 on the money line.
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New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Red Sox have recorded a 0-5 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Red Sox have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a 1-0 lead after the first inning, and the Red Sox didn’t get on the board until the 5th. As for the Yankees, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going just five innings but giving up just one run and striking out nine. He picked up a win in the game, while Clay Holmes got the save. Cooper Criswell only went 5 1/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up one run on four hits.
Gleyber Torres and Danny Jansen were the only two hitters in the game to have more than one hit. Torres homered for the Yankees’ first run, while Jansen hit a solo homer for the Red Sox.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is 74-73 overall this season, and they are 11.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox lost the series opener vs. the Yankees and are 20-20 in AL East matchups this year. So far, they have gone 35-40 at home compared to 39-33 on the road.
As the underdog, Boston is 33-40 this year, and they have dropped six straight games as the underdog. The Red Sox are 41-33 when favored this year, and they have an overall series record of 22-18-6 this year. Currently, they have won two straight series.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line at 41-31. They have a road scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.9. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 41-32 against the run line in those games.
Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox game against the New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-15. Overall, 42.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 30.6% have been set lower. The under has hit in their last three games.
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with a 3.24 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Houck has a WHIP of 1.17 and has pitched one shutout this year. Opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander this season. In his last outing, Houck took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up a homer. Houck has given up a homer in three of his last four outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Red Sox have been a good power-hitting team, as they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best BABIP at .32.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 28 homers are the 13th most in the league. He also leads the team with 81 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .277. Tyler O’Neill has also been a big power threat, as his 30 homers are the most on the team and 11th most in the league. Over his last nine games, O’Neill is 10/32 with five homers.
The Yankees are two games above .500 at 85-62 and lead the Orioles by two games in the AL East. New York is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 27-15-4 in series this year. Their two most recent series have been sweeps.
At home, the Yankees are 40-32 this season and have gone 45-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 67-55 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. New York won the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox and have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Yankees have been a better bet on the road this season, going 44-31 compared to 32-40 at home. They have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 21-4, but have struggled as the favorite, going 55-67. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it is -3.6 in losing games.
The Yankees have played in 50 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 32-20. Their combined run average in all games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 79-64. Their current under streak is at three games.
Through 12 starts, Clarke Schmidt has a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.34. He most recently faced the Cubs on September 7th, where he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up two hits, one walk, and one earned run. Schmidt finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back at his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. Schmidt’s ERA on the road is 1.46, compared to 3.98 at home. Opponents are batting .216 off Schmidt this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.51 strikeouts and 2.89 walks.
As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the top team on-base percentage in the league. New York is also near the top of the league in terms of slugging and OPS.
Aaron Judge has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, batting .319 with a league-leading 51 homers and 126 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .289 with 39 home runs. However, Soto has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games. Gleyber Torres has gone 8/26 in his last six games, including a home run.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, which would give us the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs. However, we are recommending taking the Yankees on the money line, where the payout is -148.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Clarke Schmidt is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Tanner Houck, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which ranks him 17th among starters.
Offensively, the Yankees are our top projected home run hitters for the day, and they are also projected to finish with 11 hits compared to the Red Sox with nine.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Rob Refsnyder | Questionable | Wrist |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Brennan Bernardino | Out | Forearm |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Tanner Houck | Probable | Arm |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Isaiah Campbell | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
