New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Orioles and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 86-70, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East at 92-64.
The money line odds have the Yankees at -163 compared to the Orioles at +138. Tuesday night’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this one.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles odds
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 9-1 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Orioles’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Tigers scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Baltimore was the -126 favorite at home going into the game.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Cedric Mullins had a big game at thejson, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees, the Orioles are 86-70 overall, putting them six games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Baltimore lost the first two games of their series vs. the Tigers but won the finale. So far, they have gone 30-19 in divisional play.
At home, the Orioles are 44-37 this year, and they are above .500 at 42-33 on the road. Baltimore’s overall record is a result of going just 3-7 across their last ten games. This year, they are 70-52 as the favorite but just 16-18 as the underdog. The Orioles’ overall series record is 24-18-7, and they have dropped five straight series.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 82-74. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-31. The average run margin in their games this season is +0.5 runs per game. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 22-12 on the run line.
When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1 runs per game. The Orioles have an over/under record of 83-62 on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 25-21. Overall, 47 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.1% of their games this season.
Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-10 with an ERA of 4.19. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Kremer took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight starts. Kremer’s ERA at home is 4.96, compared to 4.64 on the road.
Anthony Santander has had a great season in terms of power, as he is 3rd in the league in home runs and is 11th in the league in RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/26 in his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot at the plate, as he is batting .283 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
Overall, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Not only do they have a lot of power, but they have been a good contact hitting team, as they have the league’s 9th best batting average. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .434 is 3rd in the MLB.
Led by a big game by Aaron Judge at the plate, the Yankees are coming off a 7-4 win over the Athletics to close out their series. Judge went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Yankees really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 5th.
Luis Gil got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle with his command, giving up three walks and four earned runs. New York’s bullpen was able to close things out, and Luke Weaver picked up the save.
With an overall record of 92-64, the Yankees lead the Orioles by six games in the AL East. New York will host the Orioles today, and they come in having won three straight games. The Yankees closed out their series vs. the Athletics with three straight wins.
As the AL East leaders, the Yankees have an overall division record of 25-24 this season. They have been good at home, going 42-33, and they have been really good on the road, posting a mark of 50-31. So far, they have been favored in 130 games, going 74-56 as the favorite. As for their record as the home favorite, it is currently 41-31.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 82-74, and are 22-4 against the run line when they’re the underdog. Their run line record is 49-32 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.4 runs per game. Their run line record at home is 33-42, where they have a scoring margin of 0.4 runs per game.
When the New York Yankees play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season, as their games have gone over the total in 32 of 54 contests with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 82-69.
So far this season, Clarke Schmidt has made 14 starts and has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 2.37. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.17 and has issued 2.96 walks per nine innings compared to 9.59 strikeouts. Schmidt has made two quality starts and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Mariners, where he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Schmidt’s ERA at home is 3.85 compared to 1.51 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in the league in runs per game at 5. The team’s collective batting average of .249 is 8th in the league, and they are also the top walk-drawing team in the league. New York’s team on-base percentage of .333 is 2nd in the league.
Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but he also comes into the game with a batting average of .323 and has gone 11/28 with four homers over his last nine games. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 4th in the league in homers and is batting .287 for the season.
Our predictions for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line.
Looking at some potential player props, Clarke Schmidt is actually projected to finish with the most strikeouts among all starters today, and we have him finishing with seven. As for Dean Kremer, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the lowest among all starters.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Cousins | Out | Pectoral |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Burch Smith | Out | Groin |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Out | Wrist |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
