New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
At 4:05 PM ET, the Orioles and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup. This one is taking place at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 48-25, while the Yankees are 51-25.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -150 compared to the Orioles at +126. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and MLBN will be televising Thursday’s matchup.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- In the Yankees’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 6-4 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +124 on the money line.
New York wasted a good outing from Gerrit Cole, as he gave up just two earned runs in four innings of work for the Yankees. Clay Holmes took the loss.
Cade Povich only went 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Craig Kimbrel got the win out of the bullpen, and Dillon Tate got the save.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 48-25 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 18-7 in AL East matchups.
Baltimore has an overall series record of 16-4-3 this year, and they have won three straight series. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-20 and 9-5 as the underdog. They have been good at home, going 25-14 and 23-11 on the road. The Orioles are also 7-3 across their last 10 games overall.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-28 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 23-11. They have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game this season.
Today’s game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than the combined run average of 8.7 runs per game for the two teams this season. The Orioles have played 17 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, going over in 12 of those contests. Overall, Baltimore’s over/under record is 36-27 this season.
Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.03. So far, Irvin has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing where he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that game, he took the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Irvin has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.73 compared to 4.06 on the road.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best isolated power in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .450 is also the best in the league. The team’s top two home run hitters are Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, who have 22 and 14 home runs, respectively.
Adley Rutschman comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .288, and his 53 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 6th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big run producer, as his 49 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. Over his last six games, Anthony Santander has four home runs, but he is batting just .227 for the season.
The Yankees are 51-25 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they hold a 1.5-game lead over the Orioles, who are 50-27. New York will host the Orioles today, and they are 23-11 at home this season.
New York has been excellent on the road this year, going 28-14. The Yankees have been really good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 39-20. As the underdog, they are 12-5 this season. The Yankees’ overall series record is 17-4-2, and they are 1-1 in this series vs. the Orioles.
When betting on the Yankees this season, the run line has been a profitable play, as they are 45-31. They have been especially good on the road, going 26-16, and as the underdog, going 14-3. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while in losing games, it’s -2.7.
The New York Yankees are hosting the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have played 74 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 36-38, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-13. So far this season, 23.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 36.8% of their games have had lower lines.
Yankees starter Luis Gil has been excellent this season, coming into the game with a record of 9-1 and an ERA of 2.02. He has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting just .138 this season off the right-hander. Gil has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil gave up just one earned run in five innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Red Sox. He has won each of his last three starts. The last time he gave up more than one earned run was on May 29th.
As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York’s offense is also one of the best home run-hitting teams in the league, as they are 2nd in the league in homers. So far, the Yankees have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, and they are also one of the league’s most patient teams at the plate.
Over his last six games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 9/24 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the Yankees’ top two power threats, with Judge leading the league in homers (26) and RBIs (64) and Soto not far behind with 18 homers and 55 RBIs. Soto’s batting average of .312 is the best mark on the team.
Given that the Yankees are at home and we have them winning this game 6-5, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -150.
Offensively, we actually have the Orioles finishing with more home runs than the Yankees, but the Yankees lineup is projected to have more hits and finish with more runs.
As for the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Cole Irvin with four.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Aaron Judge | Questionable | Hand |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Westburg | Questionable | Hip |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
