New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
At 7:05 PM ET, the Orioles and Yankees square off in an AL East matchup. This one is taking place at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line at -174. The Orioles are +147 and have a record of 47-25.
Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. AMZP will be televising this game, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, while the Orioles are sending Cade Povich to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- In the Yankees’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- As the favorite, the Yankees are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 7-3 vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Orioles’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
New York picked up a 4-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Orioles could only muster two runs in the top half of the inning. As for the Yankees, they scored the game’s first run in the 2nd inning and added three more in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -144 on the money line.
Nestor Cortes got the win for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. As for the Orioles, Albert Suarez only went 3 2/3 innings, giving up three runs on six hits.
Anthony Santander hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Adley Rutschman also had a two-hit game for Baltimore.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 47-25 overall and trail the Yankees by 2.5 games in the AL East. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 17-7. Baltimore is coming off a series win over the Indians and have gone 7-3 across their last ten games.
At home, the Orioles have gone 25-14 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 22-11. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-20 this year and 8-5 as the underdog. Currently, they have a three-game winning streak in series, and their overall series record is 16-4-3.
When the Orioles are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 22-11 in that department. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.8. Overall, they are 44-28 against the run line this season.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have gone over the total in 35 of their 62 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have gone over the total in 12 of 20 games, and 23.6% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Cade Povich will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles, and he will be on the road against the Yankees. Povich has a no-decision and a loss in his first two starts, but he did pitch well in his last outing, going 6 innings and striking out 6 while allowing just 5 hits.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have also been the best home run hitting team in the league and have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 10th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top home run hitters this season, with Rutschman’s 14 homers ranking 3rd on the team and Henderson’s 22 leading the Orioles. Rutschman is also 6th in the league in RBIs, while Henderson is 9th. Henderson comes into the game on an 11-game hitting streak and has gone 12/35 in his last eight games. Anthony Santander has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/9 in his last nine games.
The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Orioles with a record of 51-24, which has them leading the AL East by 2.5 games. So far, they are just 10-10 in divisional games. New York has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Yankees are 23-10 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 28-14. As the favorite, the Yankees are 39-19 this year, and they are 12-5 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-4-2 this year.
When the Yankees win, they usually win by a lot, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They are 45-30 against the run line this season, including 19-14 at home. They are 26-16 against the run line on the road, with a road scoring margin of 1.8 runs per game. The Yankees are 14-3 against the run line as an underdog this season, and their run line win streak at home is at two games.
Today’s over/under line for the New York Yankees’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have played 73 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 35-38, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-13. So far this season, 24.0% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Gerrit Cole is coming off a season in which he made 33 starts and went 15-4 with an ERA of 2.63. He had two complete games and two shutouts while making 25 quality starts. Last season, Cole faced the Orioles twice and went 0-0 with an ERA of 1.8. For the season, Cole allowed 20 home runs and had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.6. His WHIP for the season was .98, and his batting average allowed was .203. Cole’s FIP for the season was 3.16, and his OPS allowed was .569. For the season, Cole averaged 9.56 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.5 walks per game.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s top offense in terms of on-base percentage and OPS.
Right fielder Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a batting average of .313 and an OBP of .436. He also has 18 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. Aaron Judge leads the MLB with 26 homers and is also 1st in the league in RBIs (64). Judge has been hot of late, going 12/34 in his last nine games with five homers.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, giving us plenty of wiggle room with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Cade Povich is not a recommended pick to pick up a win today, as he ranks 10th among starters. We also have his strikeout total at four, which is fourth worst among today’s starters.
Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with 11 hits and the Orioles with nine. However, the Orioles are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Yankees, but the Yankees have a higher overall team batting average.
However, if you’re looking for a straight-up pick, we would take the Yankees, as the payout is sitting at -174.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Aaron Judge | Questionable | Hand |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Westburg | Questionable | Hip |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
