New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Preview
First pitch for Sunday’s Braves vs. Yankees interleague matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Braves are 42-32 and are 2nd in the NL East, while the Yankees are leading the AL East with a record of 52-27.
Max Fried is starting for the Braves, while the Yankees are going with Nestor Cortes. New York is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -108 compared to the Braves at -111. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and YES will be televising the game.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Atlanta Braves odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Braves have a record of 7-3, while as the underdog, they have a record of 3-7.
- The Yankees have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 6-4.
New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Braves, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -133 on the money line.
Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three hits and three earned runs. Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up five runs.
Aaron Judge and Trent Grisham each homered for the Yankees, while Oswaldo Cabrera scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Travis d’Arnaud hit a home run for the Braves.
New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Atlanta is on the road today vs. the Yankees, and they are 42-32 overall, which has them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they are 12-11 in divisional games. The Braves have won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 40-26 when favored this year.
The Braves have been good at home this year, going 24-13, and they are just under .500 at 18-19 on the road. Atlanta is 14-8-2 in series this year, and they have won two straight series. So far, they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. They have a run line record of 36-38 overall, including a 19-18 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 32-34 against the run line as the favorite.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the New York Yankees, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-43. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-14. The over has hit in their last two games.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.11. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. Fried’s most recent outing came against the Tigers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been a huge run producer for the Braves this season, as his 64 RBIs are 3rd in the league and lead the team. He also has a team-high 21 homers and is batting .312. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 40 RBIs and has 12 homers but is batting just .250 for the season.
Over his last nine games, Austin Riley has been on fire, going 13/31 with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 21 homers. Riley is also on a three-game hitting streak, as is Adam Duvall, who is 3rd on the team with 19 homers.
With a record of 52-27, the Yankees lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles. The Yankees are 24-13 at home this season and have been really good on the road, going 28-14. So far, they have gone just 10-12 in divisional games this year.
The Yankees will be hosting the Braves today, and they are 40-21 as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Yankees have gone 12-6, and their overall series record is 17-5-2. New York has dropped two straight series, and they are 4-6 over their last ten games.
The Yankees have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 46-33 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 26-16. They have a run differential of +1.4 runs per game overall and +1.8 runs per game on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 14-4.
Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for the New York Yankees’ home game against the Atlanta Braves. The Yankees have an over/under record of 39-38 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-13. The over has hit in their last four games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.36 ERA. Cortes most recently pitched on June 18th vs. the Orioles, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Cortes has finished with a decision in each one. His ERA for the season at home is 1.68, compared to 5.82 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York has been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season, and they are also the league’s top offense in terms of drawing walks. The team’s collective batting average of .251 is 8th in the league.
Over the Yankees’ last nine games, Aaron Judge has gone 8/33 with three homers, but his batting average over that stretch is just .242. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot of late, going 12/33 with two homers in his last nine games. He also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
Getting the Yankees at -108 to pick up a win at home is a great value, especially with the payout being better than the money line payout for the Braves. We have this game ending with a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Max Fried, who we have finishing with just four. Cortes also has a better chance of picking up the win, as he ranks eighth in our projections, while Fried is sixth.
New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- The Yankees should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Doubtful | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Harris II | Out | Hamstring |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
| Hurston Waldrep | Out | Elbow |
