New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 6/22/2024

New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Preview

The Braves and Yankees face off in an interleague matchup at 7:15 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The forecast for Saturday’s game calls for light rain, with temperatures expected to be in the low 90s. FOX will be televising this one, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -143 compared to the Braves at +122.

Charlie Morton will start for the Braves, and he will be facing off against Marcus Stroman for the Yankees. Atlanta is 42-31 this season, and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Yankees lead the AL East with a record of 51-27. New York has lost three straight. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

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New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Braves are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
• Looking at the Braves’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.

Atlanta cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -110.

Chris Sale only went five innings for the Braves but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Carlos Rodón was tagged for seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work for the Yankees.

Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies each homered for the Braves, while Austin Riley scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Ramón Laureano also had a three-hit game at the plate.

New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Atlanta is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 42-31 overall this season. The Braves will be on the road today, taking on the Yankees. So far, they are 12-11 in the division, putting them six games behind the Phillies for the lead in the NL East.

The Braves have won two straight games as the road underdog, and they are 2-5 in that spot this year. As the favorite, the Braves are 40-26 this season, and they are 24-13 at home. Atlanta has an overall series record of 14-8-2 and have won two straight series.

Despite being just one game over .500 on the run line overall, the Braves have been a more profitable team to bet on the run line on the road, where they are 19-17. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game away from home.

The Braves are on the road today against the Yankees, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 27-43. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 6-9-2. So far this season, 58.9% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs.

Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.91 ERA. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his most recent outing, Morton picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Morton’s ERA at home is 4.65, compared to 3.80 on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 20 home runs are 4th best in the MLB and the top mark on the Braves’ roster. He also comes into the game with a team-leading 63 RBIs and is batting .311 for the season. Matt Olson has also been a big power threat for the Braves, as he has 12 homers and 40 RBIs while batting .254.

Over his last nine games, Austin Riley has been on fire for the Braves, going 13/31 with four homers and nine RBIs. During this stretch, he has also scored nine runs. The Braves have several players on a current hitting streak, with Jarred Kelenic leading the way at eight games.

The Yankees’ overall record is 51-27, and they lead the AL East by a half-game over the Orioles. New York has dropped three straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Braves. So far, they are 17-5-2 in series this year.

At home, the Yankees are 23-13 this year and have gone 28-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 39-21 this year, and they are 12-6 when listed as the underdog. New York has dropped three straight games as the favorite. Their overall record is 22-11 when favored at home.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-33 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 26-16. However, they have not been as good at home, going just 19-17. The Yankees have been a good bet as the underdog, going 14-4 on the run line, but have struggled as the favorite, going 31-29.

The Yankees are at home today against the Braves, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 38-38. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 1-7-2. So far this season, 10.3% of their games have had an O/U line set at 9 runs, and their over/under record is 3-0 in their last three games.

New York starter Marcus Stroman will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Stroman ended up taking the loss in that game. Before that outing, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts. Stroman’s ERA for the season is 3.08, along with a record of 6-3. Looking at his home/away splits, Stroman is 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA on the road and 1-2 with a 4.45 ERA at home.

So far this season, the Yankees offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 5 runs per game and batting a collective .250, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Not only do the Yankees lead the league in walks, but they are also 2nd in on-base percentage and 3rd in slugging percentage. Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge are both among the league leaders in home runs, with 18 and 27, respectively.

Over his last seven games, Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .346 with one home run and five RBIs. Aaron Judge has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but he is hitting just .250. Stanton is also on a nine-game hitting streak, while Anthony Volpe has hit safely in five straight games.

Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Yankees game is to take the Yankees on the money line at -143. We have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 6-4. With the over/under line sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room on either side, as we have this one finishing with 10 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with three strikeouts, which is good for second-worst among today’s starters. As for Charlie Morton, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters.

Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with six runs, which is good for seventh in the league today. As for the Braves, they are projected to finish with four runs, which is second-worst in the league.

New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• The Yankees should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report