New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview
The money line odds for Tuesday’s Nationals vs. Mets matchup have the Mets favored at -137, while the Nationals are sitting at +116. This one is getting started at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 90s.
Washington is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 42-49 overall, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 44-45. Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, and the Nationals are starting Jake Irvin. MASN will be televising this game.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Washington Nationals odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Nationals are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- The Mets, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Mets have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight favorite at -118 on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 4th inning, as the Cardinals scored four runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.
Mitchell Parker put together a good start for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Nationals couldnjson’t get the win, and Parker took the loss. Washington’s offense was held to only eight hits and didn’t have any timely hitting, as they didn’t score a run after the 3rd inning.
Washington is 42-49 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals are on the road today, and they have dropped two straight games coming into today’s matchup with the Mets. Their two-game losing streak came after winning the final two games of their series vs. the Padres.
At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this season, and they are just above .500 at 22-25 on the road. The Nationals have an overall series record of 11-16-2 this year, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Cardinals 3-1. As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-41 this season, and they are 9-8 when favored.
Washington’s average run margin is -0.3 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 52-39. They have been a solid bet on the run line this season, especially on the road, where they are 28-19 ATS. They are also 44-30 ATS as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.4 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4 runs per game.
The Washington Nationals are on the road against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals have an over/under record of 43-44 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-14. In total, 30 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 33.0% of their games.
Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 2.80. So far, opponents are batting .210 off Irvin this season. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Per nine innings, Irvin is averaging 7.98 strikeouts and just 2.04 walks. In his last outing, he pitched eight scoreless innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Over his last nine games, Luis Garcia Jr. has been on fire for the Nationals, going 13/31 (.419) with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Garcia Jr. is batting .274 with 10 homers, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. Abrams also leads the team with 46 RBIs.
As a team, the Nationals are 18th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team and are batting just .239. Overall, they are 12th in on-base percentage and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with an 8-2 loss. New York was the +104 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Christian Scott got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on just one hit. Scott really struggled with his command, issuing six walks. The Mets also used three different relievers, and Eric Orze took the loss out of the bullpen.
The Mets are 44-45 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games in the NL East. New York is 3rd in the division and has gone 13-12 in divisional matchups. At home, the Mets are 21-25 this season and have gone 23-20 on the road.
As the favorite, the Mets are 25-23 this year and 19-22 as the underdog. New York comes into today’s game having won two straight as the favorite. Their overall series record is 13-13-5, and they split their most recent series with the Pirates.
When betting the Mets on the run line, it’s been better to take them on the road this season. They have a 24-19 record against the run line away from Citi Field, compared to just 17-29 at home. Their average run margin is -0.0, but they have been outscored by 0.3 runs per game at home.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. The Mets’ over/under record is 47-39, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have a record of 14-9. Overall, 21 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 23.6% of their games.
Left-hander Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals at home. Quintana has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.22. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana went seven innings, giving up no earned runs on one hit. He finished with three walks and didn’t give up a homer in the outing. Quintana has come away with a no-decision in each of his last two starts.
Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/25 in his last seven games, including one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .252 and leads the Mets with 55 RBIs. Nimmo is also 3rd on the team in home runs, with 14. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the Mets’ top power threats, with Alonso leading the team with 18 homers, and Lindor is 2nd with 15.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. New York’s collective on-base percentage is 7th in the league.
Our predicted score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, and with the money line sitting at -137, this is the way we would recommend playing this one. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing sixth among starters.
As for Jake Irvin, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 19th among starters. If you’re looking for a player prop, we would recommend looking at the Mets’ home run total, as they are projected to hit four, which is good for fourth best in the league today.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
