New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview
Thursday’s Nationals vs. Mets matchup features MacKenzie Gore for Washington and David Peterson for the Mets. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:10 PM ET. SNY will be televising this matchup.
Washington is 4th in the NL East with a record of 42-51, while the Mets have won two straight and are 3rd in the division at 46-45. The money line odds have the Mets as the favorite at -138, while the Nationals are at +117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Washington Nationals odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Mets have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Mets are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Nationals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 2-8 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
New York cruised to a 6-2 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -203 on the money line.
Luis Severino pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Severino got plenty of run support, as the Mets offense got to Patrick Corbin, who gave up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Brandon Nimmo and Jose Iglesias each had three hits and two RBIs for the Mets. Mark Vientos also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Tyrone Taylor scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction
With an overall record of 42-51, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 18.5 games for the division lead. Washington has lost four straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. This season, they have gone 20-24 at home and 22-27 on the road.
So far, the Nationals have gone 16-14 against other NL East teams. As the road underdog, Washington is 18-24 this year, and their overall record as the underdog is 33-43. As the favorite, the Nationals are 9-8 this season. Washington has an overall series record of 11-16-2, and they are currently losing this series vs. the Mets 0-2.
So far this season, the Nationals have been a good bet against the run line, going 52-41. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 28-21 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of those games, going 44-32 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.4, while in their losses it is -3.4.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Nationals have played 31 games this season with a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 33.3% of their games this season.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.83. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.44, and opponents are batting .258 off him this year. In his 18 appearances, Gore has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.72 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision after giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. He has not won a game since June 9th.
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in the league in runs per game (4.2), and they are also just 21st in home runs. As a team, the Nationals are batting .238, which is 13th in the league. Washington’s offense has been led by CJ Abrams, who has a team-high 46 RBIs and is batting .274 with 14 homers.
Over his last six games, Luis Garcia Jr. has gone 11/24, and Keibert Ruiz is hitting .381 over his last five games, including two homers. Both players are also on solid hitting streaks, with Yepez’s streak at six games and Ruiz’s at five.
The Mets are 46-45 overall, and they are 13.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York has gone 15-12 against other teams in the NL East this year. The Mets have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 23-25 this year, and they are 23-20 on the road. New York has been the favorite in 50 games, going 27-23 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Mets are 19-22 this season. New York has won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 13-13-5.
When the Mets are the favorite, they have struggled to cover the run line, going 19-31. However, when they are the underdog, they have been a solid bet at 24-17. The Mets have been a good run line bet on the road, going 24-19, compared to 19-29 at home. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4, while in losing games, it is -3.4.
The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. They have a 48-40 over/under record this season, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 15 times and under 9 times. Overall, 24.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-0 with a 3.58 ERA. So far, Peterson has made three quality starts and is averaging 6.45 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .260 this year off Peterson.
Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late for the Mets, going 8/24 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .252, and he is 2nd on the team with 16 homers. Nimmo also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are tied for the team lead with 48 RBIs, with Alonso leading the team with 18 homers.
Overall, the Mets are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.
Our predicted final score for this Nationals vs. Mets matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mets. So, we would recommend taking the Mets on the money line, where you can get them at -138.
Looking at some potential player props, you could look at David Peterson to pick up the win. He is projected to go six innings and finish with five strikeouts. As for MacKenzie Gore, he is projected to finish with six K’s.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
