New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 7/10/2024

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview

The money line odds for Wednesday’s Nationals vs. Mets matchup have the Mets as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -192 compared to the Nationals at +162. This one is getting started at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Luis Severino will be starting for the Mets, while the Nationals are going with Patrick Corbin. Washington is 3rd in the NL East, while the Mets are 45-45 and have won three straight.

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New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Nationals in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Mets have gone 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• Looking at the Nationals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 3-7 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.

New York picked up a 7-5 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a four-run 2nd inning and added two more in the 6th. As for the Nationals, they scored three runs in the 8th and added two more in the 9th.

Jose Quintana only went four innings for the Mets but didn’t give up a run and picked up a win. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Jake Irvin gave up six runs in six innings of work for the Nationals.

Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Keibert Ruiz went deep for the Nationals. Lindor, Nimmo, and Harrison Bader each had three hits and three RBIs for New York’s offense.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction

With a record of 42-50, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 17.5 games. Currently, they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies and have gone 16-13 against other teams in the NL East. Washington has dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets.

At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this season, and they are just below .500 at 22-26 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-42 this year, and they are 9-8 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 11-16-2, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Washington is 28-20 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 8-9 against the run line as the favorite and 44-31 as the underdog. The Nationals’ average run margin in their wins is +3.4, while it is -3.4 in their losses.

The Nationals are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 44-44. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 5-7-2. So far this season, 16 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 or higher, accounting for 17.4% of their games.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 1-8 with an ERA of 5.49. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.53, and he has issued 3.15 walks per nine innings compared to 6.12 strikeouts. Coming into this game, Corbin has made four quality starts and is averaging just 5.4 innings per outing. He has allowed a total of 14 home runs this season.

So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 19th best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 11th in the league. The Nationals have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 6th in the league in this category.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is 13th best in the league. He also leads the team with 46 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, going 12/23 in his last six games, with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team.

The Mets are at an even 45-45 overall as they get ready to host the Nationals today. In the NL East, they are 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York has gone 14-12 against other teams in the NL East this year.

So far, the Mets have been good on the road, going 23-20 this year. At home, they are just under .500, coming in with a record of 22-25. New York has won three straight games as the favorite and they are 26-23 overall when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Mets are 19-22. This year, they have an overall series record of 13-13-5.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their run line record is 42-48 overall, and they are 18-29 against the run line at home. They are 24-19 against the run line on the road, and they are 1-0 against the run line in their last game as the favored team.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the Washington Nationals is set at 9 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-39. The average over/under line for Mets games this season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-4-3. So far this season, 69 of the Mets’ games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, while only 10 games have had lines set higher than 9 runs. The over has hit in the last two Mets games.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates. In that start, which came on July 5th, he took the loss and gave up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Severino has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 3.83, along with a record of 5-3. Opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander this year. One positive note for Severino is that he has seven quality starts this year. So far, he has made nine starts at home, going 3-1 with a 2.96 ERA.

So far this season, the Mets offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th in the MLB). They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB. Heading into today’s game, Brandon Nimmo is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 7/20 with two homers over his last five games.

Brandon Nimmo has been a big part of the Mets offense of late, as he has gone 7/20 over his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .252 and leads the team with 58 RBIs. Both Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have gone deep at least 16 times this season, with Alonso batting .237 and Lindor at .253.

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Mets and Nationals matchup, but we are going to recommend taking the over, as we see this game finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Mets. The line is currently sitting at nine runs, and we have this one going over.

If you are looking for a money line pick, we would go with the Mets, but at -192, the payout isn’t great. However, if you are looking for a parlay, you could pair a Mets win with the over.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report