New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Preview
There are three MLB games on the schedule for Saturday, and the Mets are the betting favorite at -125 over the Giants, who are at +106. The money line odds have the Giants winning payout at +106 compared to the Mets at -125. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for the game in New York calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s.
First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:40 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising this NL matchup. The Giants are on a three-game winning streak and are 26-26 overall, while the Mets have won four straight and are 21-29. Jordan Hicks is starting for the Giants, and he is facing off against Luis Severino for the Mets.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – San Francisco Giants odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Mets have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- The Giants have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
San Francisco rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Giants vs. Mets series. The Giants scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 8th, picking up an 8-7 win. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +123 on the money line.
Kyle Harrison started for the Giants, going just five innings while giving up four runs and striking out six. He did not factor in the decision. Nick Avila got the win out of the bullpen, and Camilo Doval got the save. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
Pete Alonso hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Alonso’s homer in the 8th inning gave the Mets a 7-3 lead heading into the Giants’ half of the 8th. Mark Vientos also went deep for the Mets, going 1/4.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
With a record of 26-26, the Giants are 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games for the division lead. The Giants have taken three straight games overall, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. San Francisco began this series with a win over the Mets.
At home, the Giants have gone 15-10 this year and are just under .500 at 11-16 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 10-14 this year, and they are 16-12 when favored. San Francisco has an overall series record of 8-6-2 and has won two straight series.
San Francisco has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 15-12. The Giants have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog. San Francisco has an average run margin of -1.0 runs per game on the road this season.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Giants have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-23. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-8. The over has hit in four straight games for the Giants.
Jordan Hicks gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-1 to go along with an ERA of 2.38. Looking at his overall numbers, Hicks has a WHIP of 1.11 and has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, he pitched five innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Hicks’ ERA on the road is 3.38 compared to 1.91 at home.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, the Giants are batting .250, which is 7th in the league. As a team, they are 14th in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of .318.
Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/33 in his last nine games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .245 with a team-high eight homers. Thairo Estrada is also at eight homers but is batting just .244 for the year and has gone 9/38 in his last nine games.
The Mets are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, and they are 21-29 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. New York trails the Phillies by 15 games in the division and are 5-8 in games against other NL East teams. The Mets lost the series opener vs. the Giants and, over their last ten games, they are just 2-8.
At home, the Mets are 10-15 this year compared to an 11-14 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 12-14 this year and 9-15 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped two straight games as the favorite.
Despite a losing record on the run line overall, the Mets have been a profitable bet on the run line on the road this season, going 14-11. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 8-17 on the run line. The Mets have been an underdog in 24 of their 50 games this season, going 13-11 on the run line in those games. The Mets have been favored in 26 games, going 9-17 on the run line in those games.
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the line in 26 of 49 games this season, and the over/under line for their games is set at 7.5 runs today. The Mets’ games have gone over the line in 8 of 15 games when the line has been set at 7.5 runs.
New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Giants, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and three homers. Looking back over his last four starts, Severino has finished with a no-decision in each outing. This season, he has made nine starts, has a record of 2-2, and an ERA of 3.48. Opponents are batting .203 off the right-hander this season. Severino’s WHIP for the season is 1.22.
So far this season, the Mets offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .238, and they are 11th in the league in home runs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead with seven homers apiece, with Alonso’s 26 RBIs being the 2nd most on the team.
Alonso comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 9/28 (.321) with two home runs. Jeff McNeil and Mark Vientos have also been swinging the bat well of late, with McNeil going 7/24 in his last six games and Vientos hitting .400 with two homers in his last four games.
We like the Giants to pick up a win on the road today against the Mets. Given that the Giants are the underdogs, we recommend taking them on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +106.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Hicks going 6 innings and picking up six strikeouts. As for Luis Severino, we have him going just five innings and finishing with six strikeouts.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+106)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Drew Smith | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| David Peterson | Out | Hip |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Ahmed | Out | Wrist |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Michael Conforto | Out | Hamstring |
| Blake Snell | Out | Personal |
| Austin Slater | Out | Head |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Forearm |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
