New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Preview
First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Giants and Mets is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -138, while the Giants are at +117 on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
SNY will be televising this matchup, and the Mets will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak. However, they are just 4th in the NL East, while the Giants are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 25-26.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – San Francisco Giants odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- The Mets, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a record of 3-7 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
- The Giants have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the bottom of the first, the Giants responded with a run of their own. San Francisco’s big inning came in the 4th, as they scored five runs to take the lead. The Giants were then able to close things out with a json of the 8th.
Starting for the Giants was Erik Miller, who picked up the win. He only lasted 1 2/3 innings, giving up just one run on two hits. The Giants’s offense was carried by Matt Chapman, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
San Francisco is 25-26 overall as they take on the Mets today, and they are 3rd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Giants are heading into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Pirates.
At home, the Giants have gone 15-10 this year, and they are 10-16 on the road. Looking at how they have done as the underdog, the Giants are 9-14 and 16-12 when favored. San Francisco has an overall series record of 8-6-2 and have won two straight series.
San Francisco is 25-26 against the run line this season and 14-12 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 14-9 as an underdog. They have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game this season.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the New York Mets, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Giants have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 26-23, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 11-8. The over has hit in three straight games for the Giants.
Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 3.60. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .236 this season. Harrison’s last outing came on May 18th, where he picked up the win and went five innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. He has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. Harrison has made five starts on the road and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.30 ERA.
Over the Giants’ last eight games, Matt Chapman has been on fire at the plate, going 14/30 (.467) with three homers and eight RBIs. Chapman is currently tied with Thairo Estrada for the team lead in homers, with both players having eight long balls this season. Estrada has also been swinging a hot bat of late, but his batting average is just .235 over this stretch.
San Francisco’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 16th in runs per game (4.3) and have the league’s 16th ranked home run total. Their team batting average of .250 is 7th in the MLB right now. Overall, they have been a good on-base team and have a collective slugging percentage of .385.
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 6-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the bottom of the 6th. New York was the -110 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Jose Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out four. However, the Mets couldnjson’t close things out, and Reed Garrett took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Harrison Bader, who homered in the 1st inning, going 3/3.
The Mets are 21-28 overall this season, and they trail the Phillies by 15 games in the NL East. New York has dropped three straight games and lost their final game of the series to the Guardians. So far, they are 5-8 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Mets are 10-14 this season compared to 11-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 12-13 this year and 9-15 as the underdog. So far, they have been struggling at home, having lost two straight as the home favorite. New York’s overall series record is 6-9-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Mets have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 14-11. They have been a poor run line bet at home, going 8-16. Their average run differential on the season is -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as an underdog, going 13-11 compared to 9-16 as the favorite. They have been on a run line losing streak at home, failing to cover in six straight games.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Giants today. The Mets’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 25-23 overall. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-7. In 55.1% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.
Christian Scott is getting the start for the Mets at home against the Giants. Scott has started 3 games this season and has a record of 0-2. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts and has 14 strikeouts in 16 innings of work.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .237, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is also just average. New York’s offense is near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Brandon Nimmo and Pete Alonso are both near the top of the league in home runs, with 7 and 11, respectively. Alonso is also on an eight-game hitting streak, batting .256 over that stretch. Over his last nine games, Alonso has two homers and nine hits. Jeff McNeil has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, batting .281.
Given that the Mets are starting Christian Scott and the Giants are starting Kyle Harrison, we do have the Mets coming out on top in this one. We see the Mets taking this one by a final score of 6-5, giving us some room to take them on the money line at -138.
Looking at the starters, we do have Christian Scott finishing with more strikeouts than Harrison, with our projections having Scott finishing with five and Harrison with five as well.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Drew Smith | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| David Peterson | Out | Hip |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Ahmed | Out | Wrist |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Michael Conforto | Out | Hamstring |
| Blake Snell | Out | Personal |
| Austin Slater | Out | Head |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Forearm |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
