New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 6/14/2024

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Preview

First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Padres and Mets is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Padres are 37-35 overall and are starting Matt Waldron. The Mets, who are 4th in the NL East, have won two straight and are 30-37. Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets.

San Diego is the slight money line favorite for tonight’s game, with their odds sitting at -113 compared to the Mets at -106. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs. In the NL West, the Padres are in 2nd place, while the Mets are 4th in the NL East.

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New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Mets have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Padres have a record of 6-4, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Mets have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Donovan Solano and the Padres are coming off a big game vs. the Athletics to close out their series. Solano went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Padres really needed his offense, as they were the heavy favorite at -222 going into the game. San Diego scored their other three runs in the 2nd inning.

Michael King got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Padres are six games behind the Dodgers in the NL West as they are 37-35 overall. San Diego is on a three-game winning streak, which includes winning the final game of their series vs. the Athletics and the first two games of their series. Today, they are on the road to take on the Mets.

At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year, and they have gone 19-14 on the road. As the road favorite, the Padres are 8-7 this year, and they are 24-22 when favored overall. San Diego’s series record is 13-8-3 this year.

The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 37-35 overall. They have been especially strong on the road, going 24-9 against the run line, compared to just 13-26 at home. Their average run margin on the road is +1.3, compared to -0.5 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 18-8 against the run line, compared to 19-27 as the favorite.

The Padres are on the road in New York to face the Mets with the over/under line set at 8 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-35. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Padres are 7-8-1 in those games. So far this season, 38.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on four hits. Before that, he hadn’t given up a run in two straight starts. Opponents are batting .232 off Waldron this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.83 strikeouts and 2.73 walks.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are the top batting average team in the league and are also 8th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 16/41 in his last 10 games with three homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .280 with a team-high 13 home runs.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are tied for the team lead with 45 RBIs, and Profar comes into the game with a batting average of .324, compared to Cronenworth’s mark of .263. Profar is also 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Luis Arraez has been a solid contributor at the plate this season, batting .326 with 18 RBIs.

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Mets responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to close out the Marlins with a

Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Mets are 30-37 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. New York will be at home today, taking on the Padres, and they are 15-23 at home this year. The Mets have been a bit better on the road, going 15-14.

So far, the Mets have gone 11-10 in divisional games. They picked up a game on the Nationals in the division and are now just a half-game behind them for 3rd place in the NL East. New York has won two straight games, and this came after taking the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins.

While the Mets have a losing record against the run line overall, they have been a profitable team to bet on the run line on the road this season, going 18-11. They have been particularly good as the underdog, going 18-15 against the run line. The Mets have an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game this season.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the San Diego Padres is set at 8 runs. The Mets have played 65 games this season, and their combined run average is 9.2. Their over/under record is 34-31, and the average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Mets’ over/under record is 6-4. So far this season, 41.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 43.3% have had lines set lower.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 4.30 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a WHIP of 1.35 and opponents are batting .242 this season. Manaea’s last outing came against the Phillies, where he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs. Before that, he had given up just two earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has made three quality starts this year.

Starling Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, going 10/22 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .286 and is 3rd on the team with seven homers. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead with 32 RBIs, with Alonso leading the team with 14 homers, which is 7th in the league.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the MLB. New York comes into the game with a team batting average of .241.

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Mets matchup is that the Padres will pick up the win on the road. And with the money line sitting at -113, this is the route we recommend going, as we have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sean Manaea finishing with more strikeouts than Matt Waldron. Manaea is projected to finish with four K’s, while Waldron is at five. As for the offenses, the Padres are actually projected to finish with more hits than the Mets, and they also have a higher team average.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• We like the Padres on the moneyline (-113)
• The Padres are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report