New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/22/2024

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

First pitch for Sunday night’s matchup between the Phillies and Mets is set for 7:15 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Phillies are 92-63 and 1st in the NL East, while the Mets are 86-69 and 2nd in the division.

ESPN will be televising this Phillies and Mets matchup, and the money line odds have the Phillies as the favorite at -158. The over/under line is currently at 6.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup is Zack Wheeler for the Phillies and Tylor Megill for the Mets.

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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Phillies are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Mets have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a runline record of 3-7.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Mets have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.

New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added three insurance runs in the 7th. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -117 on the money line.

Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

New York’s offense was led by Francisco Alvarez and Luisangel Acuna, as they were the only two Mets hitters to have more than one hit. Alvarez and Jose Iglesias each drove in three runs for New York’s lineup.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia currently leads the NL East by six games over the Mets, heading into today’s game. The Phillies are 92-63 overall and have gone 28-20 in divisional matchups. The Phillies have been really good at home this year, going 52-26, and they have gone 40-37 on the road.

The Phillies have dropped two of three games in their series vs. the Mets. As the favorite, the Phillies are 79-45 this year and 13-18 as the underdog. So far, they are 28-22 as the road favorite. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 25-17-7 this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line on the Philadelphia Phillies, it’s worth noting that they are 75-80 overall this season. They have a run line record of 40-37 on the road and are currently on a two-game run line win streak. In games they have won, they have an average run margin of 3.9, while in losses, their average run margin is -3.8.

Philadelphia is on the road against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 6.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have had an average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 73-74. Their games have had an average line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 6.5 runs, their record is 0-0. The over has hit in their last three games.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces his former team, the Mets. Wheeler has been excellent this season, going 16-6 with a 2.56 ERA. So far, he has made 30 starts, and opponents are batting just .187 off him this year. Wheeler has been especially tough at home, going 10-3 with a 2.56 ERA compared to 6-3 with a 3.49 ERA on the road. In his last outing, Wheeler went seven innings and gave up just one earned run, picking up the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has made 24 quality starts and is averaging 9.88 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best team batting average. The team’s collective on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS numbers are all among the league’s best.

Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 36 homers are the best mark on the team and 7th in the MLB. He also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are also near the top of the Phillies home run leaderboard, with 15 and 29 homers, respectively. Harper is batting .285 for the season and has driven in 86 runs, which is 3rd on the team.

The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies. Today, they will host the Phillies with an overall record of 86-69. New York has gone 28-20 against other teams in the NL East this season.

At home, the Mets have gone 45-35 this season, and they are above .500 at 41-34 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 58-37, and they are 27-15-8 in series this year.

When the Mets win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is 3.8 runs per game. That has helped them to a winning record against the run line overall, going 79-76. They have been slightly better against the run line on the road, going 42-33, compared to 37-43 at home. As the favorite, they have gone 44-51 against the run line, while they are 35-25 as the underdog.

The Mets have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 79-71, and their games have averaged eight runs per game. Their current over streak is at five games, and today’s over/under line is set at 6.5 runs. The Mets have not had any games with an over/under line set at 6.5 runs this season.

Tylor Megill will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he gave up two homers. Megill has a record of 4-5 this season and an ERA of 4.08. Looking at his overall numbers, Megill has a WHIP of 1.26 and has issued 3.69 walks per nine innings compared to 10.14 strikeouts. This year, he has made 13 starts, three of which were quality starts. Megill’s ERA at home is 3.96 compared to 6.1 on the road.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 home runs, which is 9th in the league. Lindor is right behind him, as he has gone deep 31 times this season. Alonso also leads the team with 88 RBIs, with Lindor’s 86 RBIs being the 2nd most on the team. Lindor comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, and Jose Iglesias has been even hotter of late, going 12/26 over his last six games.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and are batting a combined .248.

There are a lot of ways to go about betting on this one, but we really like the Mets on the money line at +133. At this payout, you could also look to parlay this with another bet or two to increase your payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Mets starter Tylor Megill is projected to finish with six. Offensively, the Mets are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, and they are also projected to finish with the most home runs in the league today.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+133)
• The Mets are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report