New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/26/2024

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Preview

At 7:10 PM ET, the Yankees and Mets will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Yankees are the favorites on the money line (-152). The Mets have won two straight and are 3rd in the NL East, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 52-29.

Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the low 90s. AMZP will be televising this one, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Luis Gil will start for the Yankees, while the Mets are starting Sean Manaea.

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New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Mets have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• The Yankees have a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mets have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 7-3 over their last ten games.

New York rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs Yankees series. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the 8th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +122 on the money line.

Dedniel Núñez got the win for the Mets out of the bullpen, while Gerrit Cole had a rough outing, taking the loss for the Yankees.

David Peterson only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mets but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 52-29 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are just 10-12 against other AL East teams. New York lost the series opener vs. the Mets and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Yankees have gone 24-14 this season, and they have been really good on the road, posting a record of 28-15. As the favorite, the Yankees are 40-23 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-6-2, but they have dropped three straight series at home.

When the Yankees are on the road, they have a run line record of 26-17, which is a 60.5% win rate. Their average run margin on the road is 1.7, which is higher than their overall average run margin of 1.3. They have a run line losing streak of 3 games on the road, and they have failed to cover the run line in 2 straight games when they are favored. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 14-4.

The Yankees are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 40-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-14. So far this season, 23.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 9-2. Gil’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.77, along with a WHIP of 1.08. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gil took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. His ERA at home is 7.4 compared to 2.75 on the road.

So far this season, the Yankees have been the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best walk rate in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in the league in scoring. The team’s collective batting average of .250 is 9th in the MLB.

Right now, the Yankees have a few hitters who are on a roll, with Giancarlo Stanton leading the way with a 10-game hitting streak. Anthony Volpe has also been hot of late, as he is on an eight-game hitting streak. Aaron Judge has three homers in his last five games, and for the season, he leads the MLB with 29 home runs and 75 RBIs. Judge is batting .304, and Juan Soto comes in at .305 with 19 homers and 57 RBIs.

The Mets are 38-39 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL East, 13 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York has picked up two straight wins and closed the gap on the Braves for 2nd place in the division to 7.5 games. New York won the first game of this series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Mets are 19-23 this season, and they are 19-16 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Mets are 18-20 this season, and they are 5-10 as the home underdog. New York’s overall series record is 12-12-3, and they have won five straight series overall and four straight on the road.

When betting the run line this season, the Mets have been a better play on the road than at home. They are 21-14 against the run line on the road compared to just 15-27 at home. They have also been a good bet as an underdog, going 23-15 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in games they have covered the run line is +3.3 runs per game.

The Mets have a combined run average of 9.4 this season, and their over/under record is 39-36. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-9. The Mets have played 15 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which represents 19.5% of their games. In 55.8% of their games, the over/under line has been set lower than 8.5 runs.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and will be facing the Yankees at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 4.16. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is 1.29, and opponents are batting .229 this year. In his 14 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s last outing came on June 19th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late for the Mets, as he is batting .292 over his last six games with four homers and seven RBIs. Overall, he is hitting .245 with 12 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Nimmo’s 46 RBIs is good for the top spot on the team and 13th in the league. Pete Alonso has also been a solid power threat for the Mets, as his 16 homers is the best on the team and 9th in the MLB.

As a team, the Mets are 8th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs and are batting a collective .249.

With the Mets coming in at +128 on the money line, they are our recommended pick in this one. We actually have the Mets winning this game 6-5, giving you some options on how you could play the over/under line, but we do have this one going over the 8.5 run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Luis Gil is projected to finish with six as well. However, we have Gil finishing with more wins than Manaea, as Gil is the third best starting pitcher in terms of picking up a win.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+128)
• The Mets are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report