New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/25/2024

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Preview

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Yankees and Mets facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite, with their line sitting at -146 compared to the Mets at +123. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and SNY will be televising it. Gerrit Cole will be starting for the Yankees, while the Mets are sending David Peterson to the mound. The Yankees are 52-28, and the Mets are 37-39, which has them third in the NL East.

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New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Yankees are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Mets have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Mets have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction

New York closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Braves scored three runs in the top of the 9th. The Yankees were the -118 favorite at home going into the game.

Nestor Cortes was excellent for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run while striking out seven. However, the Yankees couldn’t close things out, and Cortes took the loss. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Trent Grisham, who went 2/3 with a run scored.

The Yankees are 52-28 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. New York is coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Braves. Currently, they are 10-12 in divisional games this season.

At home, the Yankees have gone 24-14 this season, and they have been even better on the road at 28-14. As the favorite, the Yankees are 40-22 this year, and they are 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-6-2, but they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 46-34 overall. They have been even better on the road, where they are 26-16 against the run line. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 14-4 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is +1.4 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +1.8 runs per game on the road.

The Yankees are on the road today against the Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 39-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-14. So far this season, 23.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Gerrit Cole and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Mets, and Cole is making his second start of the season. In his first outing, he went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 3 hits, striking out 5. He did not factor into the decision.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They are even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York is also one of the most patient teams in the league, leading the MLB in walks. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been a dynamic duo for the Yankees this season, as Judge leads the league with 28 homers and is also 1st in the league with 70 RBIs. Soto is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and is 5th in the league in RBIs. Over his last seven games, Judge has gone 7/24 with three homers.

Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Mets closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. It was a big three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.

Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out 10 Cubs batters. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets will host the Yankees with an overall record of 37-39, and they are 14.0 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 3rd in the NL East and has an 11-10 record in divisional games this year. The Mets were able to take their most recent series vs. the Cubs, winning two of three games.

At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season, and they are 19-16 on the road. New York has won five straight games as the underdog, and they are 17-20 as the underdog overall. As for their time as the favorite, the Mets are 20-19 this season. They have an overall series record of 12-12-3 and have won five straight series.

When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 35-41, and they are 14-27 against the run line at home. However, they have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog.

When the Mets and Yankees meet in the Subway Series, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have seen their games average 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-36. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-9. So far this season, 56.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.

David Peterson is getting the start for the Mets today at home against the Yankees. Peterson has started 3 games this season and has picked up a win in each of his starts. His last time out, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. He has 6 strikeouts in each of his last two starts.

Brandon Nimmo has been on fire for the Mets of late, going 12/29 (.414) over his last seven games, with four homers and 11 RBIs. Overall, he is batting .244 with 11 homers, which is 3rd on the team, and his 43 RBIs are the most on the team. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are also tied for the team lead in home runs, with Alonso’s 42 RBIs being the 2nd most on the team.

As a team, the Mets are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the league’s 7th best home run total.

With the Mets coming in as the underdog at +123, we see this as a great opportunity to grab some value on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Mets, giving us a good amount of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have David Peterson finishing with more strikeouts than Gerrit Cole, as we have Cole finishing with seven and Peterson with six. However, we have Cole finishing with more wins than Peterson, but the payout on a Yankees win is much lower than the payout on a Cole win.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+123)
• The Mets are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report