New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Preview
At 7:10 PM ET, the Twins and Mets face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-134). The Twins have a record of 58-47 and they are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 56-50.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game in New York calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with broken clouds. SNY will be televising this one, and David Festa is starting for the Twins, while the Mets are going with Sean Manaea.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Minnesota Twins odds
New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Twins in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Mets’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mets have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Twins have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
New York cruised to a 15-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their fifteen runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -113 on the money line.
Jose Quintana only went six innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and picked up a win in the game. Simeon Woods Richardson struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss.
Pete Alonso and Luis Torrens each homered for the Mets, while Ryan Jeffers hit a home run for the Twins. Alonso, Torrens, Jeff McNeil, Francisco Lindor, and Tyrone Taylor each had three RBIs for New York’s offense.
New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is 58-47 overall and trails the Guardians by 5.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 21-14 against other teams in the division. The Twins are on the road today, and they are 29-26 on the road this year.
The Twins have been the favorite in 73 games, going 46-27 in those games. As the underdog, they are just 12-20 this year. Minnesota’s overall series record is 21-11-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Twins are on the road, they have a run line record of 30-25, which is better than their overall run line record of 50-55. They have a run line record of 17-15 as an underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.6.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-49. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this year, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 14-14. So far this season, 12 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 11.4% of their games.
David Festa and the Twins are on the road to take on the Mets. Festa has made 2 starts this season, and he picked up a win in his first outing against the Diamondbacks. However, he took the loss in his last start vs. the Tigers, giving up 6 earned runs in 5 innings of work.
So far this season, the Twins offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been an equally strong home and road team, averaging 4.9 runs per game at home and 4.8 on the road. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average at .253 and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are also 5th in OPS.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power hitters this season, with Santana going deep 14 times and Jeffers at 15 homers. Jeffers is also the team’s current leader in RBIs, with 49. Over his last eight games, Max Kepler has gone 11/33, and Byron Buxton has three homers in this stretch.
The Mets are 56-50 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 3rd in the division and has gone 20-16 in divisional games. The Mets are coming off a series loss to the Blue Jays but have gone 7-3 across their last ten games.
At home, the Mets are 29-28 this season and 27-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 34-28 this season, and they are 22-22 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 22-18 as the favorite at home.
When the Mets win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 51-55, and they are 27-22 against the run line on the road. They have been favored in 62 games and are just 24-38 against the run line in those games.
The New York Mets are at home against the Minnesota Twins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have had a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 57-46. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Mets have gone over 19 times and under 11 times. Overall, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.6% of their games.
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.74. So far this season, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .219 off the left-hander. Manaea’s last outing came on July 24th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those outings was a complete game shutout. Manaea’s ERA at home is 5.0 compared to 3.24 on the road.
So far this season, the Mets have been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of runs scored. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York is also among the league leaders in team slugging percentage and OPS.
Both Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso come into the game with 22 home runs, which is 11th in the league, and Lindor has gone 5/34 in his last eight games, with five homers and 11 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 with two homers in his last eight games. Heading into today’s game, both Luis Torrens and Pete Alonso are on three-game hitting streaks.
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -134. We have the Mets winning this one by a final of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, we do see this one going over, but with the payout for a Mets win, we would stick with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he ranks 14th among starters in terms of strikeout projections. For David Festa, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and he ranks 17th among starters.
New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Carlos Correa | Out | Heel |
| Alex Kirilloff | Out | Back |
| Jose Miranda | Questionable | Head |
| Chris Paddack | Out | Forearm |
| Kyle Farmer | Out | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
| Kody Funderburk | Out | Oblique |
