New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 7/29/2024

New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Preview

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Monday, and he will be looking to help them snap a two-game losing streak. The Mets are -121 on the money line compared to the Twins at +102. This interleague matchup has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSN.

Minnesota is starting Simeon Woods Richardson, and they will be looking to move above .500. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line. The Twins are currently 2nd in the AL Central, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.

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New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Twins have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Mets have gone 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Twins have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After going on to score a run in the 2nd inning, the Twins added another run in the 3rd to take a 2-0 lead. Minnesota really broke things open with a two-run 7th inning, and added another two runs in the 9th to close things out. Going into the game, the Twins were the heavy favorite at -148.

Bailey Ober put together a great start for the Twins, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 11 Tigers batters. Minnesota’s offense was carried by Willi Castro, who went 3/4 with two runs scored.

Minnesota is 58-46 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. They will be on the road today, taking on the Mets, and they are 21-14 against other teams in the AL Central.

As the Twins get set to take on the Mets, they are coming off a series win vs. the Tigers. Currently, they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. So far, they have been good both at home (29-21) and on the road (29-25).

The Twins have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 30-24. Their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game overall, and they have a run line record of 50-54. They have been a better run line bet at home, going 20-30, but their average run margin is still +0.5 runs per game at home.

The Twins are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Minnesota has a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-49. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Twins have a record of 13-14 in those games. So far this season, 11.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Through 17 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.27 for the Twins. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Phillies on July 23rd, he went six innings, giving up just three hits and one walk. In that outing, he finished with five strikeouts. Woods Richardson has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. The right-hander has allowed a total of five home runs this year.

So far this season, the Twins have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have also been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as they are 8th in the league in homers and are 4th in isolated power. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league.

Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 14, and Correa is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 47. Jeffers comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak but is batting just .230 for the season. Max Kepler has gone 9/30 in his last seven games and is on a seven-game hitting streak.

New York closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 9-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 4th inning, as the Braves scored four runs in the inning. New York’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.

David Peterson got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs. Pete Alonso had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 10 games. Overall, the Mets are 55-50, and they lost the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. This year, they have gone 20-16 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 28-28 this season compared to 27-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets have gone 33-28 and 22-22 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 16-13-7, and they split their most recent series vs. the Braves.

When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip proposition with a 50-55 record. At home, they’ve been a bit of a disaster at 23-33, but on the road, they’ve been a solid play at 27-22. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 27-17 compared to 23-38 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.4 in losses.

The Mets are playing at home today against the Twins, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 56-46. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone over 18 times and under 11 times. Overall, 24 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.9% of their contests.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 4.03 ERA. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Quintana’s most recent outing came vs. the Yankees, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. At home, his ERA is 3.92 compared to 5.97 on the road.

So far this season, the Mets offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Lindor leading the team with 22 home runs and Alonso right behind him with 21. Lindor has gone 11/41 in his last 10 games, with five homers and 10 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/35 with four homers in his last 10 games.

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -121. We have the Mets winning this game by a score of 6-5, which gives us some wiggle room with the money line, as the payout is still a good value at -121.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Quintana finishing with five strikeouts compared to Simeon Woods Richardson with six. However, Quintana is more likely to pick up the win, as he is sixth in our starting pitcher rankings compared to Woods Richardson at 14th.

New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report