New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Preview
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Sunday, as they look to keep their five-game winning streak alive. The Rockies, meanwhile, have lost three straight and are 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 33-63. Colorado will have Germán Márquez on the mound.
The money line odds have the Mets at -222, while the Rockies are the underdog at +185. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on SNY. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:40 PM ET.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Colorado Rockies odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Mets, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mets have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
New York picked up a 7-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their final two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -204 on the money line.
Christian Scott only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mets but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Jose Butto got the win out of the bullpen, and Dedniel Nunez got the save.
Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil each had two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Lindor, Jake Cave, and Sam Hilliard each homered for their respective teams.
New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
With an overall record of 33-63, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 23 games. Currently, they are 3 games behind the Giants for 4th place in the division. The Rockies are on a three-game losing streak, dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Mets.
So far, the Rockies have gone just 13-36 on the road compared to a 20-27 mark at home. This season, they are just 10-26 in day games. As the underdog, the Rockies have gone 33-63 this season, and they have lost three straight as the underdog.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.2 runs per game. That has led to a run line record of 46-50 overall, including 22-27 on the road. They are 24-23 against the run line at home, but have lost their last run line bet on the road.
Colorado’s over/under record is 50-44 this season, and the over has hit in five straight games. The Rockies have played in 55 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 57.3% of their games this season. Their combined run average is 10.0 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs.
Germán Márquez will be taking the mound for the Rockies against the Mets. Last season, he made four starts and finished with a record of 2-2. His ERA for the year was 4.95, and he had a WHIP of 1.10. Márquez’s batting average allowed was .250, and his on-base percentage allowed was .265. He had one quality start and gave up a total of four home runs. For the season, Márquez averaged 7.65 strikeouts per nine innings and had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.7.
So far this season, the Rockies offense has been averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. However, at home, they are 10th in the league at 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .243, which is 12th in the league and have the 15th most home runs in the league.
Both Brenton Doyle and Ryan McMahon come into the game tied for the team lead with 14 home runs. McMahon is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 45, while batting .273. Doyle has a batting average of .277. Over his last 10 games, McMahon is hitting .343, but he has not hit a home run in that stretch. Doyle has four homers in his last nine games and is 11/30 (.367) in that stretch.
The Mets are currently on a five-game winning streak, and they are 49-45 overall this season. In the NL East, they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-12 in divisional matchups. New York has won five straight at home and has an overall home record of 26-25.
As the favorite, the Mets have a record of 30-23 this season and 19-22 when they have been the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 14-13-5, and they are leading the Rockies 2-0 in the series heading into today’s game. They have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 45-49 overall. They have been better on the road, going 24-19 compared to 21-30 at home. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they have gone 21-32 against the run line as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is higher than the Mets’ average line of 8 runs per game. New York’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-41. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over is 16-10. The Mets have gone over in two straight games.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Rockies. Quintana has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Quintana has a WHIP of 1.26 and has issued 3.07 walks per nine innings compared to 6.61 strikeouts. One thing to note is that he has allowed 13 home runs this season. In his last outing, Quintana picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, as he has gone 11/37 in his last nine games, including three home runs and 10 RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .251, and he is 7th in the league with 62 RBIs. Nimmo is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the Mets’ top home run hitters, with 18 and 17 homers, respectively.
Overall, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and are 4th in home runs.
Our prediction for today’s Rockies vs. Mets matchup is to take the over, as we see the Mets coming out on top with a final score of 6-5. However, with the Mets at -222 on the money line, we see there being better value on the over at -118.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is predicted to have a solid outing, and if you’re looking for a player prop bet, Quintana is projected to finish with six strikeouts. As for the offenses, we have the Mets finishing with six runs and the Rockies with five.
New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| David Peterson | Out | Personal |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs/Oblique |
| Germán Márquez | Probable | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Josh Rogers | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |
