New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Preview
At 7:10 PM ET, the Cubs and Mets will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, where the forecast calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the upper 60s. Chicago comes in with a record of 18-11, while the Mets are currently 14-14.
New York is sending Sean Manaea to the mound, and he is facing off against Javier Assad for the Cubs. The money line odds have the Mets at -132, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Chicago Cubs odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Cubs in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Mets, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- The Mets have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Cubs have won 7-3 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 9-1 against the runline.
Chicago picked up a 3-1 road win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense only had three hits in the game but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring three runs in the 1st and adding two insurance runs in the 9th. On the other side, the Mets got on the board with one run in the 5th and missed a chance to tie the game in the 8th, leaving the bases loaded.
Jameson Taillon started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with only one strikeout but induced 11 ground ball outs. As for the Mets, Luis Severino got the start and took the loss, giving up one run in eight innings of work.
Christopher Morel was the difference for the Cubs, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Brandon Nimmo had the only home run for the Mets, going 1/3 with two RBIs.
New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they lead the NL Central with an 18-11 record. The Cubs hold a half-game lead over the Brewers and have yet to play a game in the division this year. The Cubs won the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox and opened their series with the Mets with a win.
At home, the Cubs have been great, going 10-3 this year. On the road, they are just above .500 at 8-8. So far, the Cubs have been good as the favorite, putting up a record of 7-3. As for their record as the underdog, the Cubs are 11-8 this season. Their overall series record is 5-3-1 heading into today’s game.
When the Cubs are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 12-4. Their average run differential in road games is -1.1, but they have covered the run line in two straight games. As an underdog, they are 15-4 against the run line, and their average run differential in those games is +0.6.
Chicago Cubs games have gone under the over/under line in five straight games. The Cubs are 13-15 on the over/under for the season, with the over/under line set at 8 runs today. The Cubs and their opponents are averaging 9.6 runs per game this season, and 51.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8-run line.
Javier Assad is on the mound for the Cubs today against the Mets. This is his third road start of the season, and he has a win and two no-decisions in his first three starts. Assad has been solid in his first two outings, striking out 11 batters in 11 1/3 innings of work.
Chicago comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 13th best batting average. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are both among the league leaders in RBIs, with 17 apiece, and Busch is also 5th in the league with six homers.
The Cubs will be looking for Nico Hoerner to provide some power, as he is batting .271 this season but has yet to go deep. However, he does have seven RBIs. Mike Tauchman has been hot of late, going 10/25 in his last eight games, with three homers and seven RBIs. Cody Bellinger is also on a long hitting streak, coming into the game with hits in eight straight games.
After taking the series opener vs the Cardinals, the Mets dropped the final game of that series and lost the first game of this series vs the Cubs. Overall, the Mets are 14-14, putting them 3rd in the NL East, 5.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. So far, they are 2-1 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 7-9 this year and 7-5 on the road. New York has an even series record of 5-4 this year and have dropped two straight series. As the favorite, the Mets are 8-8 and 6-6 as the underdog.
When betting the Mets’ run line, it’s important to consider where they are playing. They have been a better bet on the road, going 8-4, compared to 6-10 at home. The Mets have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 7-5, compared to 7-9 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it is -3.3 in losing games.
The Mets have had a combined run average of 8.7 in their games this season, and their over/under record is 14-14. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 8 runs. The Mets have had 14 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 7-7. Their last two games have gone under the over/under line.
Sean Manaea and the Mets are taking on the Cubs today, and Manaea is making his second start of the season at home. He has a win and a no-decision so far this season, and in his last start, he went 4 2/3 innings and struck out 6. He has yet to give up a home run this season.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are hitting .239, which is 14th in the league, and are 7th in home runs. New York’s team on-base percentage of .317 is 11th in the league.
Starling Marte and Pete Alonso are the team’s top home run hitters, with Marte batting .288 and Alonso at .241. Alonso’s eight homers are 3rd in the league, and Marte’s four homers are 7th in the league. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with five and three homers, respectively.
Our prediction for this Cubs vs. Mets matchup is to take the Cubs on the money line, with the payout being +110. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Cubs, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with more strikeouts than Javier Assad, but we have Assad finishing with a better ERA. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Cubs win with Manaea finishing with more strikeouts than Assad.
New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- We like the Cubs on the moneyline (+110)
- The Cubs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Personal |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Drew Smith | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| David Peterson | Out | Hip |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Tylor Megill | Out | Shoulder |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | Out | Hip |
| Cody Bellinger | Out | Ribs |
| Kyle Hendricks | Out | Back |
| Justin Steele | Out | Hamstring |
| Seiya Suzuki | Out | Oblique |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Back |
| Caleb Kilian | Out | Teres Major |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Forearm |
