New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/4/2024

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The forecast from New York on Wednesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. First pitch for the Red Sox and Mets is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field. New York comes in with a record of 75-64 and has won six straight, while Boston is 70-69 and has Tanner Houck on the mound.

The money line odds have the Red Sox at -110, while the Mets are the slight favorite at -108. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on SNY. In the AL East, the Red Sox are in 3rd place, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.

Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Boston Red Sox odds

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Red Sox are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Mets have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• In their previous ten games, the Red Sox have recorded a 3-7 record as the favorite, while they have a 2-8 record as the underdog.
• In their last ten games, the Mets have a record of 8-2 as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.

New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -135 on the money line.

David Peterson started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 1/4 with three RBIs. Lindor, Alonso, and Vientos each scored two runs for New York’s offense.

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is on the road today, and they have dropped four straight games, and they are ten games below .500 at 70-69. The Red Sox are 10.5 games out of first place in the AL East, with the Orioles leading the way. So far, they are 18-18 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 this year, and they have gone 39-31 on the road. As the road favorite, the Red Sox are 15-5 this season, and they are 37-31 when favored overall. Boston’s overall series record is 21-17-6, and they are currently down 0-2 in their series vs. the Mets.

Despite being .500 on the season in terms of run differential, the Red Sox have been a poor bet on the run line, going just 64-75. The team has been much better on the run line on the road, going 40-30, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 40-31, as opposed to a favorite, where they are just 24-44.

Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.5, and their over/under record is 71-61. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-8-3. The majority of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with 68.3% of their games having lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 3.12. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and he has one complete game shutout to his name this year. In his last outing, Houck finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run against the Tigers. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has made 19 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.82 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting a collective .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league. As a team, they are also one of the league’s best in terms of on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have been two of the Red Sox’s top hitters this season. Duran comes into the game with a team-best .294 batting average and has gone 7/24 in his last six games. Devers is hitting .279 for the season and leads the team with 80 RBIs and 28 homers. Tyler O’Neill is also near the top of the league in homers, coming into the game with 25 long balls.

The Mets are 75-64 overall and have won six straight games, and they are 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York has gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East this year. The Mets have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Red Sox and have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Mets are 37-33 this year and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 48-35 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 23-16-8. The Mets have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 23-16-8 this year.

Despite being a game under .500 against the run line overall, the Mets have been a solid bet at home, going 30-40 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, going 39-30 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 33-23 against the run line as an underdog.

When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 69-66, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 14 of their 21 games. In total, 77 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which accounts for 55.4% of their games this season.

New York starter Tylor Megill will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he only gave up five hits and issued one walk. Megill finished with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.82. Looking at his overall numbers, Megill has a batting average allowed of .235, 10.49 strikeouts per nine innings, and 3.96 walks per nine innings. This year, he has made 10 starts and one of them was a quality start.

Francisco Lindor comes into the game with a 14-game hitting streak and has been hot at the plate of late, going 7/19 with two homers over his last five games. For the season, Lindor is batting .273 with 30 home runs and 84 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also a big power threat in the Mets lineup, as he has 31 homers this season, which is 7th in the league. However, Alonso is batting just .242 for the season and has gone 4/20 in his last five games.

Overall, the Mets are 6th in home runs this season and have the 9th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

We are predicting that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-5 road win over the Mets. With the Red Sox being the away team, you can get them on the money line at -110, and this is our recommended bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck finishing with seven strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with the 10th fewest earned runs among today’s starters.

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (-110)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report