New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Preview
The forecast for Tuesday’s Red Sox vs. Mets matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. The game will get started at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-127).
Both teams will be sending a pitcher to the mound that is 3rd in their division, as the Red Sox are 70-68, and the Mets are 74-64. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, while the Red Sox are going with Kutter Crawford. NESN will be televising this interleague matchup.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Boston Red Sox odds
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Red Sox are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Mets’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mets have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- The Red Sox have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York picked up a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a good outing from Luis Severino, who went seven innings and gave up just one run. Severino picked up a win in the game, while Phil Maton got the save.
Brayan Bello started for the Red Sox and went five innings, giving up four runs on seven hits. He took the loss in the game.
Francisco Lindor and Luis Torrens each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets’ offense. Lindor scored one of New York’s four runs.
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is 70-68 overall and trails the Yankees by 10 games in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped three straight games, and they are 3rd in the division standings. So far, they are 18-18 in AL East games. The Red Sox have really struggled recently, going just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 this year, and they have gone 39-30 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 24-25 this year, and they are 37-31 as the favorite. Boston has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 21-17-6 this year.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they are 40-29 vs. the run line. Their average scoring margin in road games is +0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight road games, but are just 24-44 vs. the run line as the favorite.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road to face the New York Mets, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 70-61. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-8-3. This season, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with an ERA of 4.12. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents are batting .217 this season. In his 28 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. Crawford’s last outing came against the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. He has lost three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 5th in the league, and are one of the best power-hitting teams in the league, with a collective ISO of .177, which is 4th in the MLB. Boston’s lineup has been tough to strike out this season, as they have the 28th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Left fielder Jarren Duran comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .294 with 21 homers and 71 RBIs. Rafael Devers leads the team with 80 RBIs and is 9th in the league with 28 homers. Devers is also batting .281 and has an OBP of .360.
The Mets are 74-64 overall and are 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York has won five straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. In the NL East, they are 22-17 this season.
At home, the Mets are 36-33 and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 47-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won two straight at home as the favorite, and their overall series record is 23-16-8. They have won two straight series and both have come on the road.
The Mets have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 39-30, compared to 29-40 at home. They have covered the run line in their last four games as the favorite, but overall are just 35-47 against the run line in those games. They have been a good run-line bet as the underdog, going 33-23 against the run line.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in 14 of their 21 games with that line. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 68-66, and the combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs per game. Currently, the under has hit in their last five games.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and opponents are batting .233 off him this year. In his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss, giving up two earned runs in each of those starts. So far, he has made nine quality starts this season.
Francisco Lindor has been on a tear for the Mets, as he is batting .304 over his last six games with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .271 with 29 homers and a team-leading 81 RBIs. Pete Alonso also has over 30 homers, but he has struggled of late, going 3/23 in his last six games.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. This is a team that has been good at home and on the road this season. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 10th in the league.
Our predicted final score for this Red Sox and Mets matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. With the Red Sox being the underdog on the money line at +107, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kutter Crawford finishing with six strikeouts compared to David Peterson with seven. However, we have Peterson going six innings and Crawford going just five.
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+107)
- The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Martinez | Out | Personal |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Paul Blackburn | Out | Hand |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Forearm |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
| Cam Booser | Out | Elbow |
