New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Orioles and Mets is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Orioles are currently 1st in the AL East with a record of 74-53, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East at 65-61.
New York is the money line favorite heading into the game, with their odds sitting at -134, while the odds for an Orioles win are sitting at +113. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MLBN.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Baltimore Orioles odds
New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- The Mets, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Orioles have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore cruised to a 9-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Mets, they scored their five runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +110 on the money line.
Dean Kremer pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going six innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Jose Quintana had a rough outing for the Mets, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.
At the plate, Baltimore was led by James McCann and Anthony Santander, who each homered and combined for five RBIs. Cedric Mullins also had a two-hit game and scored three times for the Orioles’ offense.
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
With an overall record of 74-53, the Orioles lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. Baltimore has gone 28-15 against other teams in the division. The Orioles are on the road today, and they are 37-25 on the road this year.
So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 61-41, and they are 13-12 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 23-11-6, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. This includes picking up a win in their most recent game vs. the Mets.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 38-24 this season. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, and they are currently on a five-game run line win streak. They have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 18-7 against the run line in those games.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the New York Mets. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 9.4 runs. Baltimore’s O/U record for the season is 69-48, and when the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-15. Overall, 40 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 31.5% of their games this season.
Cole Irvin is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 4.85. Irvin has made 21 appearances and has a WHIP of 1.41. One of his best outings of the year came on June 13th, when he pitched a complete game shutout against the Royals. In his last outing, Irvin went three innings out of the bullpen and gave up one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Irvin has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league and are 1st in slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league.
Anthony Santander comes into the game with the 3rd most homers in the league (37) and is also 10th in the MLB in RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 2nd on the team with 33 homers. Henderson has gone deep four times over his last nine games and is batting .287 for the season.
The Mets are 65-61 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. They are 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead and trail the Braves by 2.5 games for the 2nd spot in the division. New York is 22-17 in divisional matchups this season.
So far, the Mets have been just above .500 at home, going 34-33. On the road, they are 31-28 this year. New York has struggled a bit as of late, going 4-6 over their last ten games. As the favorite, the Mets are 42-35 and 27-22 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 20-16-7 this year.
When betting on the Mets this season, it’s been a coin flip. They have a run line record of 59-67 overall, and they’ve been a bit better on the road, going 31-28. They’ve been a slight favorite in more games than they’ve been an underdog, but they’ve been a better bet when getting the runs, going 28-21 as the underdog. Their average run differential for the season is +0.2 runs per game.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 9.3, and their over/under record for the season is 64-58. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 24-15. So far this season, 25.4% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Orioles at home. Manaea has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.46 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a WHIP of 1.21 and has pitched a total of 130 innings. Opposing batters are hitting .211 off Manaea this season. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has made nine quality starts.
Brandon Nimmo comes into today’s game on an eight-game hitting streak, but he is hitting just .217 over his last six games. During this stretch, he has two home runs and six RBIs. For the season, Nimmo is batting just .229. Francisco Lindor has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/33 over his last eight games, including two homers. He is the team’s current leader in RBIs.
The Mets have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Alonso is batting .242 this season, while Lindor comes in at .265. Alonso’s 27 homers are 10th in the league, and Lindor is 13th with 24 homers.
The best bet for this Orioles vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, with the payout sitting at -134. We actually have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Irvin finishing with five strikeouts, which is higher than Mets starter Sean Manaea, who we have finishing with six K’s. Offensively, the Mets lineup is projected to finish with eight hits, compared to the Orioles with nine.
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Zach Eflin | Out | Shoulder |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Keegan Akin | Out | Personal |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Jacob Webb | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Heston Kjerstad | Out | Head |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
