New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 8/19/2024

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

First pitch for Monday’s Orioles vs. Mets interleague matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -128 compared to the Orioles at +108. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Baltimore will be starting Trevor Rogers, while the Mets are giving the ball to David Peterson. The Orioles are currently 1st in the AL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East. MLBN will be televising Monday’s matchup.

Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Baltimore Orioles odds

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Orioles in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Mets have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mets have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Orioles’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles’s offense was carried by Gunnar Henderson in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox. He went only 1/4, but that one hit was a home run, and he drove in two runs. The Orioles also scored another two runs in the 6th inning to pick up a 4-2 win. Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Red Sox batters.

Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out, with Seranthony Dominguez picking up the save. The Orioles also got a big game from Adley Rutschman, going 1/3 with a homer.

Baltimore heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with an overall record of 73-52, which has them tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 28-15 in divisional games this season. They split their recent series vs. the Red Sox and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

As the road underdog, the Orioles have gone 9-8 this season, and they are 12-11 overall as the underdog. The Orioles have been good as the favorite this season, putting together a mark of 61-41. Their overall series record is 23-11-6 this year.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, posting a 68-57 record. They have been particularly strong on the run line on the road, going 36-24, including covering in their last three games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs, while it drops to -3.5 runs in losses.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. Baltimore games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have a 20-15 record. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 31.2% of their games this season. The under has hit in their last two games.

Trevor Rogers is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, where he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up two homers. Before that outing, he had pitched well, going 5 1/3 innings in each of his previous two starts and giving up two earned runs or fewer in each outing. Overall, Rogers is 2-11 with a 4.89 ERA, and opponents are batting .281 off the left-hander this season. His ERA at home is 5.5 compared to 5.99 on the road.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 36 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 33 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team and 5th most in the league. Henderson has been especially hot of late, going 12/37 in his last nine games with four homers. Overall, he is batting .288.

As a team, the Orioles lead the league in home runs and have the league’s top slugging percentage. They are also 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to the Marlins, Paul Blackburn was excellent on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching six innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Brandon Nimmo, going 1/3 with a homer.

Reed Garrett took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mets, as New York allowed two runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Mets were at -195 on the money line.

The Mets host the Orioles with an overall record of 64-60, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by nine games in the division. New York is 22-17 in divisional matchups this season and has an overall series record of 20-16-7.

At home, the Mets are 33-32 this season compared to 31-28 on the road. So far, they have gone 41-34 as the favorite and 23-26 as the underdog. New York’s most recent series came vs. the Marlins, which they won two games to one. In the Mets’ last 10 games, they are 4-6.

When betting the Mets on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season as they are 59-65. They have been slightly better on the road, going 31-28, compared to 28-37 at home. New York’s average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they have been favored in 75 of their 124 games, going 31-44 against the run line.

The Mets have been a high-scoring team this season, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 63-57, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 23 times and under 15 times. Overall, 31 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, which is 25% of their games this season. They have hit the under in their last two games.

The Mets are sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 7-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson went 6 1/3 innings vs. the Athletics, giving up just one earned run on four hits. He ended up with the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .238 vs. Peterson this year.

Francisco Lindor comes into today’s game with a 12-game hitting streak and has been on fire at the plate of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has two home runs and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .264 with 24 homers and 72 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 27 long balls are 10th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .243 overall and has gone 7/34 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Mets are 10th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -128. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5. At home, the Mets have an edge in the lineup, and we also have David Peterson finishing with more strikeouts than Trevor Rogers.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could pair the Mets with the over. The line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report