New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Mets is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Mets are currently on a three-game winning streak, and their money line odds are at -101 for this one. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
As for the Diamondbacks, they have a money line payout of -119, and they are 4th in the NL West with a record of 25-30. Christian Scott is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Zac Gallen. MLBN is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Diamondbacks in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Mets have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
- 2-8 is the record of the Mets as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 2-8.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-1 loss. Arizona was the +115 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Diamondbacks, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored in the bottom of the first.
Arizona started Ryne Nelson, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Diamondbacks also issued three walks and hit a batter. Corbin Carroll was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a run scored. However, the Diamondbacks only had one other hit, a single by Ryne Nelson.
Arizona is 25-30 overall, and they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets. The Diamondbacks are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and are in 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone 11-9 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 13-15 compared to 12-15 on the road. As the road favorite, Arizona has gone 3-3 this year, and they are 13-12 as the favorite overall. Arizona’s series record is 6-11-1, and they lost two straight series.
The Diamondbacks have been a solid bet on the run line on the road this season, as they are 14-13 against the run line in those games. They have a run line record of 24-31 overall, with an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 16-14 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.4 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8 runs per game.
The Diamondbacks have gone under in six straight games, and they have an over/under record of 23-30 on the season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and the O/U line for today’s game against the Mets is set at 7.5 runs. Arizona has played in 46 games with higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged nine runs per game.
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.12 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. Looking at his overall numbers, he has turned in six quality starts this year and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Arizona’s offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They are also among the top home run hitting teams in the league, with their 48 homers being 16th in the league. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s better teams at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category.
Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .266 with 33 RBIs, which is 14th in the league. Joc Pederson comes into the game with a team-high 10 homers, and he is batting .306 overall.
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 10-3 loss. New York was the slight favorite at +103 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Dodgers scored six times in the 2nd.
David Peterson took the loss, going only five innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits. The Mets’s offense scored their only three runs in the 5th inning. Tomás Nido hit a two-run homer, and Starling Marte had an RBI single.
New York is 22-33 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 16 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Mets dropped all three games of their series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they are just 5-8 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 11-19 this year, and they are an even 11-14 on the road. New York has dropped three straight games, and as the underdog, they are 10-18 this year. The Mets have struggled as the favorite, going 12-15. Their overall series record is 6-11-2, and they have lost four straight series overall.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 23-32, with a -0.7 run differential per game. They are 9-21 against the run line at home, with a -0.9 run differential per game.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games is 28-26, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 8-9. So far this season, 54.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Christian Scott will be making his 3rd home start of the season for the Mets, and he has yet to pick up a win in his first two outings. Scott has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts, and he has 18 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. He is coming off a no-decision vs. the Giants, where he gave up 2 runs on 2 hits and struck out 4.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are the 20th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just .304.
Brandon Nimmo is the team’s current home run leader, but his batting average is just .214. Pete Alonso is batting just .231 this season but does have 12 home runs, which is 7th best in the league. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -101. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zac Gallen finishing with six strikeouts compared to Christian Scott with four. Scott is projected to go 8th among starters in terms of innings pitched, while Gallen is third. However, we have Scott finishing with an ERA of 4.97 compared to Gallen at 3.89.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- The Mets should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Edwin Díaz | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Shoulder |
| Pete Alonso | Questionable | Hand |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
