Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Preview
Chris Paddack and the Twins will be looking to extend their five-game winning streak on Saturday when they host the Rangers. The forecast for the game in Minneapolis calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 60s.
The Twins are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -128 compared to the Rangers at +108. First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSN.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Texas Rangers odds
Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Rangers are 0-5. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- The Twins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Twins have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 2-8 against the runline.
- Looking at the Rangers’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 1-9 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -161 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Rangers could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Jose Miranda was the difference for the Twins, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Carlos Correa also had a two-hit game for Minnesota. As for the Rangers, Corey Seager hit a home run, while Joey Gallo went 0/2 with two walks.
Bailey Ober got the win for the Twins, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Jhoan Duran closed things out. Jose Urena had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.
Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Texas is 24-28 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL West, three games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Rangers have dropped five straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Twins. So far, they are 7-8-1 in series this year.
At home, the Rangers are 12-13 this year and 12-15 on the road. Texas’ losing streak as the underdog is up to five in a row, and they are 9-13 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Rangers are an even 15-15 this year. Looking at their overall mark, they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
The Rangers have been a poor run-line bet this season, going 20-32, including 11-16 on the road. They have been a better run-line bet as an underdog, going 11-11, compared to 9-21 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it is -3.5 in losses.
When the Texas Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Rangers have gone over the total in 21 of their 51 games this season, and their over/under record is 21-30 overall. The under has hit in two straight games for Texas.
Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.61. Looking at his overall numbers, Lorenzen has made four quality starts and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched seven scoreless innings. Lorenzen’s ERA at home is 3.45, compared to 3.75 on the road.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers of late, going 9/24 in his last seven games, with four homers and five RBIs. Overall, Seager is batting .254 with nine homers. Adolis Garcia is the team’s top home run hitter, with 12 homers, but he has hit just .208 in his last six games. Josh Smith has also been swinging a good bat of late, batting .310 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 11th best team batting average in the MLB.
Minnesota is 27-23 overall and 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins have won three straight games, and they are 12-10 against other teams in the division. Minnesota’s win streak includes taking the first game of this series vs. the Rangers.
So far, the Twins have been good as the favorite, going 22-11, but they are just 5-12 as the underdog. At home, the Twins are 9-8 when favored. Minnesota has gone 3-7 over their last ten games, and they are 12-11 at home compared to 15-12 on the road.
The Twins have been a tough team to bet on the run line this season, as they are just 24-26 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 15-12, compared to 9-14 at home. They have been favored in more games than they have been underdogs, and they are 16-17 against the run line as the favorite.
The Minnesota Twins are at home against the Texas Rangers today, with the Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their Over/Under record is 23-26. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Twins have gone under the total in 10 out of 13 games. Overall, 62% of their games have had lower O/U lines than 8.5 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Rangers at home. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.47. Paddack’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and he has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, Paddack finished with a no-decision, going eight innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Paddack has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.91 ERA compared to 7.28 on the road.
Carlos Correa has been hot at the plate of late, going 9/32 (.281) over his last nine games, including two home runs. Correa also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Jose Miranda and Byron Buxton have also hit two homers over their last eight and six games, respectively. Miranda has gone 8/25 in that stretch, while Buxton is 5/21.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Currently, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best isolated power figure. Ryan Jeffers is the team’s leader in home runs (10) and RBIs (32) and is batting .253.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, and with them sitting at -128 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going. We do see this being a close one, and with the Rangers at +108, you could also look to take the over and pair that with a Twins win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Paddack is projected to finish with six strikeouts and is second in terms of fewest hits allowed. As for Michael Lorenzen, he is only projected to finish with four strikeouts and is fifth in terms of most hits allowed.
Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Twins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Out | Groin |
| Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
| José Ureña | Questionable | Ankle |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Wyatt Langford | Out | Hamstring |
