Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Preview
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Minneapolis on Friday, as the forecasted temperature is 65 degrees. The Rangers and Twins will face off at 7:10 PM ET from Target Field. José Ureña is starting for the Rangers, and he will be facing off against Bailey Ober. Minnesota is favored on the money line (-155), while the Rangers are the slight underdog (+130).
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Twins will be looking to extend their four-game win streak. They are 26-23 this season, while the Rangers are 24-27 and are 2nd in the AL West. This game will be televised on BSN.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Texas Rangers odds
Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- The Rangers are 0-5 in their five most recent road games, including a 0-5 runline record.
- Conversely, the Twins have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Twins have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 2-8 against the runline.
- Looking at the Rangers’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 1-9 straight-up and 2-8 vs. the runline.
Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the 4th to take the lead. Texas was the +170 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Offensively, the Rangers only had two fewer hits than the Phillies but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Adolis Garcia hit a home run for the Rangers but went just 1/3. The Rangers also had a double in the 2nd.
Texas will be on the road today to take on the Twins, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which has dropped their record to 24-27. The Rangers are 3.0 games behind the Mariners in the AL West and are 9-11 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Rangers are 12-13 this year and 12-14 on the road. This season, the Rangers are just 7-9 as the road underdog, and they have dropped six straight on the road overall. As the underdog, the Rangers’ record is 9-12 compared to 15-15 as the favorite.
When betting the run line on the Texas Rangers, it’s been a losing proposition overall this season, as they are 19-32. They are 10-16 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of -0.6 runs per game. They are 9-16 on the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game. They are also on an eight-game run line losing streak on the road, and they are 4-9 against the run line as the favorite.
When the Texas Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for their game against the Minnesota Twins. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 21-29. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-10. So far this season, 51.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Texas is sending José Ureña to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 3.29. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 5.63 strikeouts per nine innings. Ureña’s last outing came vs. the Angels, where he went six innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Ureña’s ERA on the road is 11.78, compared to 1.07 at home.
Adolis Garcia has been one of the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as his 12 home runs are 5th in the league and leads the team. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 3/16 in his last four games. Marcus Semien is 2nd on the team with 34 RBIs and is hitting .263 for the season.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 7/18 with three homers in his last five games. Seager is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last six games, Josh Smith is hitting .318, but he has yet to homer this season.
Max Kepler and the Twins are coming off a good performance at the plate in their most recent game vs. the Nationals. Kepler went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Twins really needed his offense, as they only scored three runs in the 3-2 win. Minnesota’s other run came from a Carlos Correa homer in the 2nd.
Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins, going 4 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. The Twins’s bullpen was a little shaky, as the Nationals scored their only two runs in the 7th, but Jhoan Duran was able to close things out and pick up the save.
Minnesota is 26-23 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins have gone 12-10 against other teams in the AL Central. They come into today’s game having won two straight games and are 3-7 across their last 10.
At home, the Twins are 11-11 this season and 15-12 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 32 games, going 21-11 in those games. As for their matchups as the underdog, the Twins are 5-12. Minnesota’s overall series record is 8-6-2, and they took their most recent series vs. the Nationals.
Minnesota’s run line record is 24-25 this season, but they have been a better bet on the road (15-12) than at home (9-13). The Twins have been favored in 32 games this season and have gone 16-16 against the run line in those contests.
The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Texas Rangers in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 23-25 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-9. Overall, 63.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Twins starter Bailey Ober has made nine starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.40. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Ober took the loss, going four innings and giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Ober’s ERA on the road is 12.28 compared to 2.30 at home. Opposing batters are hitting .221 off Ober this season.
Carlos Correa comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, going 6/24 in his last seven games with two home runs. Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 10 homers are 7th in the league and the top mark on the team. Jeffers also leads the Twins with 32 RBIs, which is 12th in the MLB.
Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Twins are batting just .232, but they do have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league.
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Rangers matchup is that the Twins will pick up a 5-4 win. With the Twins coming in at -155 on the money line, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Bailey Ober picking up five strikeouts compared to José Ureña with four. However, Ureña is projected to go longer into the game, but we still like Ober’s chances of picking up the win.
Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Twins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Out | Groin |
| Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Wyatt Langford | Out | Hamstring |
