Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 7/22/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Twins will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. The money line odds have the Phillies at -133 compared to the Twins at +113. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Philadelphia is 63-36 this season and they are currently in 1st place in the NL East, while the Twins are 54-44 overall and are 3rd in the AL Central. Bailey Ober is starting for the Twins, and he will be facing off against Ranger Suarez for the Phillies. NSPPH is carrying this one on TV.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• The Phillies are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Twins have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies are 5-5 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Twins have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 5-5 over their last ten games.

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs the entire game. Philadelphia’s offense added another three runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Going on the road, the Phillies hit a total of 11 singles.

Tyler Phillips put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three Pirates batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Phillies also had three other players with two hits.

With a record of 63-36, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. Today, the Phillies are on the road to take on the Twins, and they are 15-10 in division games this season. The Phillies are looking to bounce back after dropping two of three in their series vs. the Pirates.

At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this season, and they are above .500 at 26-20 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-18. As the favorite, the Phillies are 55-28 and 19-14 as the favorite on the road. Their overall series record is 19-10-5 but have dropped two straight series.

When the Phillies are on the road, they have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game, and their run line record is 24-22. Their average run differential in all games is +1.1 runs per game, and their run line record is 51-48. They have a run line record of 43-40 when favored and 8-8 when the underdog.

With a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Philadelphia Phillies have had a high-scoring season. Their over/under record is 44-50, and when the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they are 15-11-1. In their last two games, the under has hit, but the over/under line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8 runs.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-4. Suárez’s ERA is currently 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.04. In his 19 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.96 compared to 5-1 with a 3.03 ERA at home.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Phillies are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league.

Over his last eight games, Trea Turner has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 10/32 with four homers. As a team, they are led in RBIs by Alec Bohm, who is 3rd in the league with 71 RBIs and has 11 homers. Bryce Harper is also having a great season at the plate, batting .297 with 22 homers and 63 RBIs.

Minnesota is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 8-7 loss to the Brewers, Byron Buxton went 2/5 with two homers, and Trevor Larnach went only one inning, giving up one run on a homer. The Twins scored two runs in the 2nd inning and another two in the 3rd but couldn Brewers scored three runs in the 5th to take the lead. Minnesota was the -164 favorite at home going into the game.

Joe Ryan will get the start for the Twins, looking to get things back on track after a rough outing in his last start. He gave up four earned runs on seven hits and issued three walks. Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen for the Twins, as Minnesota allowed the go-ahead run in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. The Twins also wasted a big game from Buxton, who homered twice, going 2/5.

Minnesota is hosting the Phillies today, having lost three straight games, and they are five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 19-13 in AL Central matchups. The Twins are 54-44 overall and lost the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers.

At home, the Twins are 27-20 this season and 27-24 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has put together a record of 44-26 and 10-18 as the underdog. Minnesota has dropped two straight at home, and they are 4-3 as the home underdog this year. The Twins’ overall series record is 19-11-2 and they have dropped two straight series.

Minnesota’s run line record is 46-52 overall, with a 28-23 mark on the road. The Twins have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game, but are just 18-29 against the run line at home. They are 15-13 against the run line as an underdog and 31-39 as a favorite.

Minnesota’s O/U record is 49-47, and their combined run average is 9.3. Their O/U record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-14-2. The over has hit in two straight games for the Twins. The O/U line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 8 runs.

Minnesota is sending Bailey Ober to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 4.14. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander. Ober has turned in nine quality starts this year, and his most recent outing was vs. the White Sox, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those was a complete game.

Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, batting .308 with a team-high 47 RBIs and 13 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 14th in the MLB. Correa is also on a four-game hitting streak. Minnesota has two other players with 14 homers, Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers. Willi Castro is also a player to watch, as he is batting .265 with seven homers.

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 7th in scoring (4.9 runs per game) and have the 7th most home runs in the league. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the MLB. The Twins are also near the top of the league in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Our pick for this Phillies vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at +113. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 7-6, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, compared to Ranger Suarez at five. Suarez is also projected to give up seven hits compared to Ober at five.

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Twins on the moneyline (+113)
• The Twins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report