Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 5/14/2024

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Preview

Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees on Tuesday, and he will be facing off against Chris Paddack and the Twins. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorites, with their money line odds sitting at -137 compared to the Twins at +115. This AL matchup can be seen on BSN, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 PM ET, and the forecast for the game calls for clear skies and temperatures around 70 degrees. The Yankees are 27-15 and are 2nd in the AL East, while the Twins are 24-16 and are 2nd in the AL Central.

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Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Yankees are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Twins have gone 4-1 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games, the Yankees have a 7-3 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• As the underdog, the Twins have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 10-6 win. New York scored a run in the 1st inning and added another three runs in the 3rd. After the Rays pulled to within one run with a 5-run 7th, the Yankees scored an additional four runs in the top of the 8th to put things out of reach. Going into the game, the Yankees were the -145 favorite on the money line.

Luis Gil put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out three Rays batters. New York’s offense was carried by Jose Trevino, who went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.

With a record of 27-15, the Yankees are in 2nd place in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the top spot. New York is 5.5 games ahead of the Red Sox. The Yankees will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Twins.

So far, the Yankees have gone just 8-8 in AL East matchups. They have been good at home, going 13-6, and they have been even better on the road at 14-9. As the favorite, the Yankees are 20-11 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 10-2-1, and they have won three straight series.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.6 runs. That’s why their overall run line record is at .500, as they are 21-21. They are 13-10 vs. the run line on the road, where their average run margin is +1.2 runs per game, compared to +1.4 runs per game at home. They are 8-11 vs. the run line at home and 13-18 as the favorite.

When the Yankees play, the over/under line is usually set high, with 71.4% of their games having lines set over 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-22. In their last two games, the over has hit, with 16 runs scored in their last game against the Rays and 9 runs scored in the game before that.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.56. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Rodón has alternated between wins and losses. The left-hander has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best home run hitting team and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.

Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, batting .314 with a team-high 34 RBIs. He is also 2nd on the team with nine homers. Aaron Judge has also been a good power threat for the Yankees, as he is 4th in the league with 10 homers. Judge has also been hot of late, batting .387 over his last nine games.

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 5-1 win. After allowing one run to the Blue Jays in the bottom of the first, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another two runs in the 7th inning.

Starting for the Twins was Bailey Ober, who picked up the win while tossing 6 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball. He also finished with 10 K’s and issued just one walk. Carlos Santana went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Minnesota will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 24-16, which has them just one game behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional games and have won two straight series. Their overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won six straight series.

At home, the Twins are 11-8 this year and have been really good as the favorite, going 19-7. As for their record as the underdog, they are just 5-9. Minnesota has been playing well lately, as they are 7-3 over their last ten games.

The Twins have been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 13-8 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the favorite, going 15-11 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is 20-19, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 4-5-1. Overall, 35.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 40.0% have had lower lines. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1 runs per game.

Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and has been pitching well as of late. He has won each of his last four starts and has an overall record of 4-1. Paddack’s ERA for the season is 4.34, along with a WHIP of 1.50. Opposing batters are hitting .296 this season off Paddack. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Paddack’s ERA at home is 1.39 compared to 8.96 on the road.

Carlos Santana and Max Kepler have been swinging the bat well for the Twins of late, with Santana hitting .438 with three homers over his last five games, and Kepler has gone 7/18 with a home run and six RBIs over that same stretch. Kepler also comes into the game on a 14-game hitting streak. Ryan Jeffers has also been a good power source for the Twins, as his nine homers is 5th in the league, and he is 6th in the league with 30 RBIs.

As a team, the Twins are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and have the 3rd best Isolated Power figure in the league.

With the Twins at +115 to pick up the win, this is the bet we would recommend making for this Yankees vs. Twins matchup. We have the Twins winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Twins win with the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Chris Paddack finishing with six strikeouts, which is right around the middle compared to other starters. As for Carlos Rodón, we have him finishing with nine K’s, which is good for ninth among starters.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Twins on the moneyline (+115)
• The Twins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report

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