Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Preview
At 7:40 PM ET, the Angels and Twins will square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -188. The money line odds for an Angels win are at +158, and they are 5th in the AL West with a record of 59-84.
Los Angeles comes into the game on a two-game losing streak, while the Twins have lost three straight. Monday’s forecast in Minneapolis calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. BSN has this game on TV. Reid Detmers is starting for the Angels, and he will be facing off against David Festa for the Twins.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Los Angeles Angels odds
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Angels in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Twins’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 0-5 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Twins have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Angels have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 7-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the bottom of the 4th. Los Angeles was the +150 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Offensively, the Angels only had one fewer hit than the Rangers but scored just four runs. Their lone run in the 4th inning came on a home run from Charles Leblanc. He went just 1/4 but drove in three runs. The Angels also wasted a big game from Zach Neto, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins, the Angels are 59-84 overall, putting them 5th in the AL West. They trail the Astros by 18 games for the top spot in the division. Los Angeles lost the first two games of their series vs. the Rangers and dropped the final two games of the series.
At home, the Angels are just 30-42 this season, and they are 29-42 on the road. The Angels have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 53-69 as the underdog overall. As for their time as the favorite, the Angels are just 6-15 this year. So far, their overall series record is 13-30-3.
Despite a losing record on the run line this season, the Angels have been a profitable team to back as an underdog, going 69-53. Their average run differential in those games is -0.9, and they’ve covered the run line in 37 of 71 road games this season.
Los Angeles Angels games have had an average combined run total of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 68-70. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-8-1. Overall, 72.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, with an average line of 9 runs. They have hit the over in two straight games.
Left-hander Reid Detmers is starting for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.87 ERA. In his 13 appearances, Detmers has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 10.43 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on 10 hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Detmers has given up at least one homer in four straight outings.
One of the few bright spots for the Angels offense this season has been the play of Taylor Ward and Zach Neto, who have combined for 42 home runs and 132 RBIs. Neto is batting .256, while Ward is hitting .244 but has been hot of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with five homers. Neto is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jo Adell has also hit 20 homers this season but is batting just .207.
Overall, the Angels are 27th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game and are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have an on-base percentage of .300. They are also just 20th in home runs.
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 2-0 loss. Minnesota was the +104 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Twins, as Simeon Woods Richardson didn’t give up a run in the first two innings but took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and issued three walks.
Offensively, the Twins only had five hits but didn’t score a run. Christian Vazquez was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a double. However, the Twins couldn’t get him home, and he didn’t score a run.
Minnesota is five games out of the AL Central lead as they host the Angels today. The Twins are 76-67 overall and have dropped three straight games, losing the final three games of their series vs. the Royals. This year, they are 28-20 in AL Central play.
At home, the Twins are 39-30 this season and 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 60-38 and are 16-29 as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 25-17-4 this year, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
The Twins have been a solid run line team this season, going 66-77 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 37-37 against the run line. Minnesota has a run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.
The Minnesota Twins have an over/under record of 71-67 this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 12-18-4. Overall, 56 of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, which is 39.2% of their games. They have gone under in their last three games.
David Festa is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, where he took the loss. In that start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Festa has made 10 appearances and 9 starts. His record for the Twins is 2-5, and he has an ERA of 4.75. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. One of the issues for Festa has been the long ball, as he has given up 8 homers. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.03 strikeouts and 2.47 walks.
Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 20 homers and 60 RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 4/20 in his last six games. Ryan Jeffers has also hit 20 homers this season and is 2nd on the team with 59 RBIs. Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis are tied for 2nd on the team with 16 homers.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Their team batting average of .249 is 10th in the league, and they have the 8th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Minnesota’s team slugging percentage of .421 is 7th in the league.
We do like the Twins to pick up the win in this one, but at -188, the payout isn’t great. Instead, we are going to be targeting the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our prediction is that the Twins will win this one 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we do have Reid Detmers finishing with more strikeouts than David Festa, as we have Detmers finishing with seven and Festa with five. However, our projections have Festa finishing with fewer earned runs than Detmers.
Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips
- Take the Twins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Carlos Santana | Questionable | Illness |
| Max Kepler | Out | Knee |
| Carlos Correa | Out | Heel |
| Byron Buxton | Out | Hip |
| Manuel Margot | Out | Groin |
| Alex Kirilloff | Out | Back |
| Chris Paddack | Out | Forearm |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Undisclosed |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Joe Ryan | Out | Teres Major |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
| Kody Funderburk | Out | Oblique |
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
| Matt Moore | Out | Elbow |
| Kevin Pillar | Out | Thumb |
| Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
| Carson Fulmer | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Rengifo | Out | Wrist |
| Jo Adell | Out | Oblique |
| José Soriano | Out | Arm |
| Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
| Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
| José Marte | Out | Illness |
| Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
