Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Preview
From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have the Angels and Twins facing off in an AL matchup. The forecast for Wednesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Jack Kochanowicz will be going for the Angels, while the Twins are set to start Zebby Matthews.
The money line odds have the Twins at -203 compared to the Angels at +171, while the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. BSW will be televising this one starting at 7:10 PM ET. The Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Angels are 5th in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Los Angeles Angels odds
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Angels are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Twins have gone 1-4 (SU) and 0-5 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Twins have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Angels have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Angels by a score of 10-5. The Twins offense only had three more hits than the Angels and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -269 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Pablo López for the Twins and Griffin Canning for the Angels. López only went seven innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with 10 strikeouts. On the other side, Canning was tagged for nine runs in just 5 2/3 innings of work.
Minnesota’s two, three, and four hitters did the most damage, as Kyle Farmer, Matt Wallner, and Carlos Santana each homered and combined for eight RBIs. Ryan Jeffers also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins, the Angels are 60-85 overall, putting them 5th in the AL West. They trail the Astros by 17.5 games in the division and are 14.5 games behind the Athletics for 4th place in the division. The Angels are just 5-5 across their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 13-30-3 this year.
At home, the Angels are 30-42 this year, and they are 30-43 on the road. As the underdog, Los Angeles is 54-70 this season compared to just 6-15 as the favorite. The Angels will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 30-38 as the road underdog this year.
When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game. However, they have been outscored by an average of -0.9 runs per game this season, leading to a 75-70 run line record. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 70-54, compared to just 5-16 as the favorite.
When the Los Angeles Angels are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Angels have played 55 games with that line, and their over/under record in those games is 30-25. The Angels’ combined run average in those games is 8.8 runs per game.
Right-hander Jack Kochanowicz gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.89. Opponents have put together a batting average of .307 this year off Kochanowicz. In his 38 2/3 innings of work, he has turned in five quality starts. Kochanowicz’s last outing came on September 5th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Angels offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .229 and have an on-base percentage of only .301. However, they do have two of the league’s best home run hitters in Zach Neto and Taylor Ward, who have 21 and 22 homers, respectively. Ward has been especially hot of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games with four homers.
Not only is Taylor Ward one of the league’s top home run hitters, but he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs and is batting .248 for the season. Zach Neto is batting .258 and is the Angels’ current leader in RBIs, with 70. Neto is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Minnesota is 77-68 overall and trails the Guardians by six games in the AL Central. The Twins are 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they are 40-31 at home and have gone 37-37 on the road. The Twins have been good as the favorite this year, going 61-39, but just 16-29 as the underdog.
The Twins have split the first two games of this series with the Angels, as they are 25-17-4 in series this year. Minnesota is just 4-6 across their last 10 games.
Minnesota has played to the run line in 67 of their 145 games this season, going 30-41 at home and 37-37 on the road. The Twins’ average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they have an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game at home. They have been the favorite in 100 games and the underdog in 45 games.
The Twins have played 89 games with over/under lines lower than 8.5 runs, which is 61.4% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 72-67. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-22. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and they are playing at home against the Angels.
Zebby Matthews is set to make his fourth start of the season for the Twins, and he will be looking to pick up his first win of the year. Matthews has taken the loss in each of his first three starts, and he is coming off a start in which he gave up 4 earned runs over 5 innings against the Royals. On the year, he has 21 strikeouts in 17 innings of work.
Carlos Santana leads the Twins in home runs this season with 21, but he is batting just .238. However, he has gone 7/30 in his last nine games with three homers. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 20 homers this season while batting just .232. Willi Castro has 11 homers and is batting .246.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Currently, both Kyle Farmer and Carlos Correa are on four-game hitting streaks. Farmer is batting .438 over his last nine games, while Correa has gone 11/41 in his last 10 games.
Our prediction for today’s Angels vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins to pick up the win at home. However, with the Twins being -203 on the money line, we actually like the over at 8.5 runs, and you can get this at -121.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zebby Matthews finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Jack Kochanowicz, who we have finishing with just three. As for the offenses, the Twins are actually projected to finish with more runs than the Angels, and you can see that we have the Twins winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips
- Take the Twins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Vázquez | Out | Personal |
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Max Kepler | Out | Knee |
| Carlos Correa | Out | Heel |
| Byron Buxton | Out | Hip |
| Willi Castro | Questionable | Illness |
| Manuel Margot | Out | Groin |
| Alex Kirilloff | Out | Back |
| Chris Paddack | Out | Forearm |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Undisclosed |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Joe Ryan | Out | Teres Major |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
| Kody Funderburk | Out | Oblique |
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
| Matt Moore | Out | Elbow |
| Kevin Pillar | Out | Thumb |
| Anthony Rendon | Out | Back |
| Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
| Carson Fulmer | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Rengifo | Out | Wrist |
| Jo Adell | Out | Oblique |
| José Soriano | Out | Arm |
| Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
| Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
| José Marte | Out | Illness |
| Ben Joyce | Out | Shoulder |
| Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
