Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction & Betting Tips 9/10/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Preview

From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an Angels vs. Twins matchup. The Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -250 compared to the Angels at +207. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Griffin Canning will start for the Angels, and he is facing off against Pablo Lopez. The Angels are 5th in the AL West, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central. BSW will be televising this one, and first pitch is at 7:40 PM ET.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats

• The Angels are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Twins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 0-5 record.
• The Twins have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Angels have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Angels took down the Twins by a score of 6-2. The Angels offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +149 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Reid Detmers for the Angels and David Festa for the Twins. Detmers went six innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He picked up a win in the game, while Festa took the loss.

Both Niko Kavadas and Brandon Drury homered for the Angels, while Taylor Ward went 3/4 with an RBI. Nolan Schanuel also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

With an overall record of 60-84, the Angels are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 17.5 games. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional matchups. The Angels are looking to pick up a win today on the road, as they are just 30-42 at home this year.

This season, the Angels have really struggled as the favorite, going 6-15. As for their time as the underdog, they are 54-69. When playing as the road underdog, the Angels are 30-37 this year. So far, their overall series record is 13-30-3, which includes being 1-0 in this series vs. the Twins.

When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. But in their losses, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 75-69 overall, including 70-53 as the underdog. They are 38-34 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.7 runs per game.

The Angels have played in 104 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs this season, which accounts for 72.2% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 68-70. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Angels have gone over 15 times, under 8 times, and pushed twice.

Griffin Canning will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Dodgers and picked up the win. In that September 4th start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has made 27 starts and six of them have been quality starts. This season, he has a record of 5-12 and an ERA of 5.02. Canning’s WHIP for the season is 1.38. Out of his 25 home runs allowed, four came in his last outing before the Dodgers.

So far this season, the Angels offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. One area where they have been solid is not striking out too much, as their team strikeout numbers are right around the league average.

Taylor Ward has been on a tear for the Angels, going 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-leading 22 homers. Zach Neto is also near the top of the Angels’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers and a batting average of .256.

With a record of 76-68, the Twins are six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Overall, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the division. The Twins will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, and they dropped the series opener vs. the Angels.

At home, the Twins are 39-31 this season, and they are an even 37-37 on the road. This season, the Twins have been favored in 99 games, and they are 60-39 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Twins have gone 32-24 this season. Minnesota’s overall series record is 25-17-4 this season, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The Twins have been a below-average run line team this season, going 66-78 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 37-37, while they are just 29-41 at home. They have been favored in 99 games this season and have gone just 43-56 against the run line in those contests.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Los Angeles Angels today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Twins’ games have had an average combined run total of 9.1 this season, and their over/under record is 71-67. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 12-18-5. Overall, 38.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today and comes into the game with a record of 14-8 and an ERA of 4.05. So far this year, he has made 28 starts and 16 of them have been quality starts. Lopez has a WHIP of 1.13 and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Lopez has been particularly tough at home, coming in with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 4.63.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have both been good power threats for the Twins this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 20 home runs apiece. However, Santana is batting just .235 for the season and has hit just .192 over his last eight games. Jeffers is also hitting below the Mendoza line at just .231. Byron Buxton is batting a solid .275 and has 16 homers this season.

Willi Castro is batting .246 for the season and has 11 homers, and his 52 RBIs are the 3rd most on the team. Jose Miranda has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/37 in his last nine games, but he has yet to go deep in that stretch.

There are a couple of ways you could play this one, but we like the Twins to pick up the win. However, at -250, the payout isn’t great. Instead, we would recommend taking the over at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Twins.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Pablo Lopez is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Griffin Canning with five. However, Canning is projected to give up fewer hits, and we have him finishing with a better ERA.

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels Injury Report