Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Preview
At 7:40 PM ET, the Tigers and Twins will face off in an AL Central matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -106. The money line odds for a Tigers win are at -112.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers, and the Twins are starting Simeon Woods Richardson. Minnesota is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Tigers are 4th.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Detroit Tigers odds
Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- The Tigers are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Twins have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 5-0 record in their last five home games.
- In their previous ten games, Tigers have won 5-5 as favorites and 1-9 as underdogs.
- The Twins hold a 6-4 record as the favorite and a 2-8 record as the underdog.
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers are coming off a game in which they needed to score seven runs to pick up the win. Detroit was the -108 favorite on the money line going into the game. Offensively, the Tigers scored their seven runs on eight hits and only hit two home runs.
Casey Mize got the start for the Tigers, going 5 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out two. Detroit’s bullpen nearly gave up the lead, as the Angels scored five runs in the 9th, but Tyler Holton was able to close things out and pick up the save.
Detroit is 38-46 overall this season, and they are 15.0 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-10 in AL Central games. The Tigers are on the road today, and they went into the game 3rd in the AL Central, leading the Tigers by 8 games.
At home, the Tigers have gone 19-22 this year while posting a similar 19-24 record on the road. Detroit has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 19-19 when favored this year. As for their time as the underdog, the Tigers are 19-27.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers this season, it’s been more profitable to back them as the underdog, as they are 27-19 against the run line in those situations. Their overall run line record is 36-48, and they have been favored in 38 games, going just 9-29 in those contests. The Tigers’ average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.5 in their losses.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road against the Minnesota Twins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have an over/under record of 44-38 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-10. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and 60.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. They are currently on a two-game over streak.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 9-3 with a 2.32 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .94, and opponents are batting .199 off him this year. Skubal has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Phillies, he went seven innings and picked up the win. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Skubal’s ERA on the road is 3.3, and he is 3-3 away from home.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Their team batting average of .228 is 20th in the league, and they are also just 19th in home runs. The Tigers have a few hitters who have put up some good power numbers, but they will need to improve their overall offensive production.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power hitter this season, as his 15 home runs are 1st on the team and 11th in the league. Greene is also batting .253 for the season. Over his last nine games, he has gone 7/31 with one home run. Matt Vierling is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and is batting .250 for the season.
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After scoring a run in the 1st inning, the Twins added another run in the 2nd to take a 2-0 lead. The Mariners tied things up with two runs in the 3rd, but Minnesota retook the lead with another two runs in the 5th.
Joe Ryan put together a good start for the Twins, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 10. However, he didn’t get the win, as the Twins’s bullpen allowed the Mariners to tie things up in the 7th. Jhoan Duran picked up the save, and the Twins also got a big game from Trevor Larnach, who homered and went 2/4.
Minnesota is 47-37 overall, putting them six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are on a two-game winning streak, and they went 2-1 in their series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have gone 15-11 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Twins are 23-16 this year and 24-21 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota is 38-20, and they are 9-17 as the underdog. So far, they have been good in series, going 16-8-2, and they have won three straight series overall and three straight on the road.
The Twins have been a solid run line bet this season, going 40-44 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 25-20 compared to 15-24 at home. The Twins have been a better bet as an underdog, going 13-13 compared to 27-31 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have had a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-42. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. So far this season, 63.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Woods Richardson picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run.
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in baseball this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and are 5th in home runs. So far, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 10th in the league, and have the 5th best slugging percentage in the league. The Twins also have the 4th best Isolated Power (ISO) mark in the league.
Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has gone 10/22 with four homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with a team-high 41 RBIs. Catcher Ryan Jeffers also has 13 homers this season but is batting just .232. First baseman Carlos Santana has gone deep 12 times this season and is 3rd on the team with 39 RBIs.
Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Twins game is to take the Twins on the money line at -106. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout for a Twins win at -106, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Simeon Woods Richardson picking up the win. However, his chances of getting a win are just average, and his strikeout numbers are not great. As for Tarik Skubal, he does have a good chance to pick up a win, but we have him finishing with more strikeouts than Skubal.
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Twins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Alex Kirilloff | Out | Back |
| Chris Paddack | Out | Arm |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Báez | Out | Back |
| Kenta Maeda | Probable | Hip |
| Casey Mize | Questionable | Leg |
| Matt Vierling | Questionable | Foot |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
