Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Rockies and Twins is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -248, while the Rockies are +204 underdogs. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSN.
Colorado comes into the game with a record of 24-43, while the Twins are currently 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 35-32. Minnesota will be looking to get a win behind Pablo Lopez, while the Rockies are starting Austin Gomber.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Colorado Rockies odds
Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Twins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- As the favorite, the Twins are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 3-7 against the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Twins series. Colorado went into the matchup as +175 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first and didn’t score another run until the Twins put up two in the 7th. As for the Rockies, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 9th, and the Twins could only muster two in the bottom half of the inning.
Ryan McMahon and Ezequiel Tovar each homered for the Rockies, while Byron Buxton went deep for the Twins. McMahon, Tovar, and Carlos Santana each had two hits and two RBIs for their respective teams.
Cal Quantrill pitched well for the Rockies in this one, going six innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Kinley got the save. Caleb Thielbar took the loss for Minnesota out of the bullpen.
Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado is 24-43 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 17.5 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 9-14 in divisional games. The Rockies are on the road today, and they are 11-26 as the road team.
The Rockies have really struggled as the underdog this season, going 24-43, and they have yet to win a game as the favorite. Colorado’s overall series record is 4-15-2, and they are just 3-7 across their last ten games. At home, the Rockies are 13-17.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run differential of +2.9 runs per game. However, they lose by an average of -4.1 runs per game. Despite their losing record, they are 34-33 against the run line this season, and they are 19-18 against the run line on the road.
Colorado has been a consistent over team this season, with an over/under record of 34-32. The Rockies have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 5 of their 8 games. Overall, 67.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Left-hander Austin Gomber gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with a 3.38 ERA. Gomber’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Gomber has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. The last time he didn’t give up a homer was on May 15th.
So far, the Rockies offense has been a bit disappointing, as they are just 23rd in runs per game and have the 20th ranked home run total in the league. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 8th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .305 and OPS of .683 are both below average. One thing that has gone well for the Rockies offense is their collective BABIP of .31, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Elias Diaz comes into the game with a team-leading batting average of .303, and he is also 2nd on the team with five home runs. Ezequiel Tovar and Ryan McMahon are tied for the team lead with 11 homers, with Tovar batting .292 and McMahon at .262. Tovar has gone deep three times in his last seven games while batting .310 in that stretch. McMahon has also been hot of late, going 12/28 in his last seven games.
Minnesota will take on the Rockies today with an overall record of 35-32, and they are nine games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games. The Twins have gone 3-7 across their last ten games and are looking to get back on track today at home.
At home, the Twins are 17-14 this season compared to an 18-18 mark on the road. Minnesota has been good as the favorite this year, going 26-16, but they are just 9-16 as the underdog. The Twins’ overall series record is 11-8-2, but they have dropped two straight series.
When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. They are 30-37 on the run line this season. They are 12-19 on the run line at home and 18-18 on the run line on the road. They are 18-24 on the run line as the favorite and 12-13 on the run line as the underdog.
Minnesota is back home to face the Rockies in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Twins’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-36. When the line is set at 8 runs, they are 4-10-2. This season, 40.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 35.8% have had lines set lower.
Pablo López will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he gets the start for the Twins today. Against the Yankees, he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last four outings, López has given up at least six earned runs in three of them. The only exception was his start vs. the Astros, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. For the season, he has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 5.45. López’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Santana’s 10 homers is 2nd on the team and Jeffers’ 12 homers is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Jeffers also leads the Twins with 36 RBIs. However, both players are batting below .240 for the season. Willi Castro has been a solid all-around hitter for the Twins, batting .252 with a team 2nd OBP of .348.
Carlos Correa has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 10/26 (.385) over his last seven games with one homer and seven RBIs. Royce Lewis and Carlos Santana have also gone deep twice in their last six games, but Santana is just 6/22 in that stretch.
Our prediction for this game is that the Rockies will pick up a 5-4 road win over the Twins. With the Rockies being the underdog, you can get them on the money line at +204, and with the payout being more than double your money, this is the route we recommend taking.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the under at 8 runs. Looking at the lineups, the Rockies are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the second-most in the league today.
Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+204)
- The Rockies are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs |
Elias Díaz | Questionable | Calf |
Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Freeland | Out | Elbow |
Brendan Rodgers | Out | Hamstring |
Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
Sean Bouchard | Out | Ankle |
Justin Lawrence | Out | Shoulder |
Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
Jake Bird | Out | Elbow |
Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |