Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Preview
At 7:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Twins square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -201. The Rockies are +169, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Colorado is 5th in the NL West, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. Louie Varland will be starting for the Twins, while the Rockies are sending Cal Quantrill to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Twins – Colorado Rockies odds
Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- The Rockies are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- In the Twins’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Twins have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a straight-up record of 2-8 and a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Rockies by a score of 5-0. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Rockies and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -245 on the money line.
Chris Paddack got the start for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Dakota Hudson only went 6 2/3 innings for the Rockies and gave up one earned run.
Royce Lewis provided the big blow for the Twins, as he homered and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Carlos Correa also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
With a record of 23-43, the Rockies are 17.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 9-14 against other teams in the NL West. Colorado is on a two-game losing streak, and they lost the series opener vs. the Twins.
At home, the Rockies are just 13-17 this year, and they have gone 10-26 on the road. As the underdog, the Rockies are 23-43 this season, and they have lost two straight as the underdog. So far, they have yet to be the favorite in a game this year, and their overall series record is 4-15-2.
When the Rockies are on the road, they have an average run margin of -1.6 runs per game and are 33-33 on the run line. Their average run margin in losing games is -4.1 runs per game.
The Rockies are on the road against the Twins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Colorado’s games this season is 9.6 runs, and their over/under record is 33-32. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-6. Overall, 53.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-4 to go along with a 3.58 ERA. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Quantrill didn’t allow a run in five innings of work, picking up the win against the Cardinals. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Rockies offense has been one of the league’s worst, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 8th in the league, and have the league’s best BABIP at .32.
Over the team’s last 10 games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 12/42 (.286) with two homers and four RBIs. Tovar is also 2nd on the team in homers and is batting .293 for the season. Elias Diaz and Ryan McMahon are tied for the team lead in homers, with 10 apiece. McMahon’s 34 RBIs are the most on the team, and Diaz is 2nd with 28.
Minnesota is 35-31 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, eight games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games, and their series vs. the Rockies is 1-0 in their favor.
At home, the Twins are 17-13 this season and an even 18-18 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 26-15, and they are 9-16 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 11-8-2, but they have dropped two straight series.
The Twins have a run line record of 30-36 this season, and they have an even run differential overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 18-18 vs. the run line. They have been a slight underdog in more games than they have been a favorite, and they have been a better bet vs. the run line in those games.
When the Minnesota Twins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins’ combined run average this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-36. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-12. Only 10.6% of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs.
Getting the start for the Twins today is Louie Varland, who will be making his 4th start of the season. Varland has yet to pick up a win, as he has taken the loss in each of his first 3 outings. In his last start, he went 2 2/3 innings, giving up 4 runs on 3 hits and 4 strikeouts.
Minnesota’s offense has been pretty average this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Twins have been a good power-hitting team this season, as their isolated power (ISO) of .164 is 4th in the league.
Carlos Correa has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games with a home run and seven RBIs. Royce Lewis has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/19 with three homers in his last six games. Catcher Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 12 homers but is batting just .237 for the season.
Our predicted final score for this Rockies vs. Twins matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, which means that the money line isn’t offering enough value for us to make it our top pick. Instead, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some of today’s starters, we have Louie Varland finishing with the most strikeouts among all starters, and he is projected to finish with seven K’s. As for Cal Quantrill, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts.
Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Twins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs |
| Elias Díaz | Questionable | Calf |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Freeland | Out | Elbow |
| Brendan Rodgers | Out | Hamstring |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Sean Bouchard | Out | Ankle |
| Justin Lawrence | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Bird | Out | Elbow |
| Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |
