Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 9/27/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have the Orioles and Twins facing off in an AL matchup. The Orioles are 88-71 and their money line odds are at +144, while the Twins are 82-77 and are the heavy favorite at -173. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Friday night’s forecast in Minneapolis calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 80s. BSN will be televising this one, and first pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET. Cade Povich is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Pablo Lopez for the Twins.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Orioles in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Twins have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Twins have won 3-7 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Orioles have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 10-1 loss. Baltimore was the +141 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Orioles, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored six times in the bottom of the second.

Baltimore started Corbin Burnes, and he took the loss, going five innings and giving up six earned runs on only two hits. He also issued seven walks and hit a batter. The Orioles’s offense scored their only run in the 9th inning.

The Orioles are 88-71 overall, putting them five games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Baltimore is heading into today’s game on the road, and they are 44-34 on the road this season. At home, the Orioles are 44-37 this season. They have gone 32-20 against other teams in the AL East.

Baltimore’s overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have dropped three straight series at home. As the favorite, the Orioles are 70-52 this season, and they are 18-19 as the underdog. Their most recent series came vs. the Yankees, which they won 2-1. The Orioles have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 84-75 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 46-32. They have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game this season. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 24-13 compared to 60-62 as the favorite. They have a scoring margin of 0.6 runs per game on the road and 0.3 runs per game at home.

The Orioles are on the road today against the Twins, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Orioles this season is 85-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 26-22. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season. The over has hit in their last two games.

Baltimore is sending left-hander Cade Povich to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. Povich has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 2-9 with an ERA of 5.59. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. Against the Tigers, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and had seven strikeouts. In his last three outings, Povich has given up two earned runs. He has a home ERA of 3.9 compared to 18.14 on the road.

Anthony Santander has been one of the Orioles’ best power hitters this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league and the top mark on the team. However, he is batting just .235 for the season and has hit just .152 over his last nine games. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/38 in his last nine games, but he has yet to go deep during that stretch.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams in terms of isolated power. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league.

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with an 8-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Marlins scored three runs in the top of the 11th. Minnesota was the -254 favorite at home going into the game.

David Festa got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. The Twins’s offense was carried by Carlos Correa, who went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Minnesota will take on the Orioles at home with an overall record of 82-77, which has them 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 10 games in the division. The Twins are 29-23 against other teams in the AL Central this year.

The Twins have dropped four straight series, and they are just 3-7 across their last 10 games. At home, the Twins are 43-35 compared to 39-42 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 65-47 this year, and they are 36-28 as the favorite at home.

Minnesota has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 73-86 against the run line. They have been slightly better at home, going 33-45 against the run line, compared to 40-41 on the road. The Twins have been a favorite in 112 of their games, and are 48-64 against the run line in those contests.

The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.1. The Twins have gone over the total in 81 of their 153 games this season, and their over/under record is 81-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 26 of 48 games. The over has hit in two straight games for Minnesota.

Pablo López will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he finished with the loss after giving up seven earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Before that, he had pitched well, going 6 1/3 innings vs. the Guardians and giving up just two earned runs. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. López has a record of 15-9 this season and an ERA of 4.11. For the year, he has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .248 vs. López this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.52 strikeouts and just 1.9 walks.

Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power hitter this season, as he leads the team with 22 home runs and 68 RBIs. However, his batting average is just .234. Willi Castro has also been a solid run producer for the Twins, batting .248 with 60 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers is 2nd on the team with 20 homers but has a batting average of just .225.

Over the team’s last eight games, Carlos Correa has gone 11/32 with a home run and seven RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Byron Buxton is on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 9/33 in the team’s last seven games.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins to pick up the win at home. However, with their money line sitting at -173, we actually like the over at 8.5 runs, as our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Twins.

Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Pablo Lopez is expected to go five innings, while Cade Povich is projected to go seven. However, we have Lopez finishing with more strikeouts than Povich.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report