Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Blue Jays and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. Toronto is 32-34 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 39-27.
Tuesday’s money line odds have the Blue Jays at -117 compared to the Brewers at -103, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Carlos F. Rodriguez is slated to start for the Brewers, while the Blue Jays are sending Yusei Kikuchi to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Brewers have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- In their previous ten games, Blue Jays have won 8-2 as favorites and 4-6 as underdogs.
- 8-2 is the record of the Brewers as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Blue Jays series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -122 and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Blue Jays and struck out eight times, but still picked up the win.
Toronto wasted a good outing from Jose Berrios, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Berrios did serve up two homers in the game. As for the Brewers, they got a good performance from Colin Rea, who gave up just one earned run across seven innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Chourio, and Alejandro Kirk were the only three players in the game to have more than one hit.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 32-34 overall and trails the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 9-10 in AL East games. The Blue Jays are on a two-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 26-17 as the favorite overall.
As for their time on the road, the Blue Jays are 16-19 and have gone 16-15 at home. Toronto has an overall series record of 8-9-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better play on the road (19-16) than at home (11-20). Toronto is 30-36 overall, with an average run margin of -0.6 runs per game. The Jays have covered the run line in two straight games and are 21-22 when favored.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-36. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-13. So far this season, only 9.1% of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 8.5 runs.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Kikuchi has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.48 ERA. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Kikuchi’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has given up seven homers on the road compared to one at home.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game (25th) and have also struggled in the power department, as they are just 21st in home runs. As a team, they are batting .232, which is 15th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all below the league average. One thing they have done well is avoid striking out, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 2nd on the team in batting average (.287) and has gone deep seven times this season. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also tied for the team lead in RBIs (31), but both have batting averages south of .230. Varsho is currently on a three-game hitting streak, but he is batting just .218 for the season.
Milwaukee is 39-27 overall this season and leads the NL Central by seven games over the Reds. So far, they have gone 16-8 against other teams in their division. The Brewers have won six straight games at home, and they are 19-10 at home this season.
As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 20-12 this year and 19-15 as the underdog. Milwaukee is 12-7-2 in series this year and are 1-0 vs. the Blue Jays in this series. Looking at their overall series, the Brewers have gone 12-7-2.
When playing at home, the Brewers have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game, which has helped them to a 14-15 run line record at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and are 23-11 against the run line as an underdog this season.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-28. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-12. So far this season, 12.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.
The Brewers will be sending Carlos F. Rodriguez to the mound today against the Blue Jays. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
So far this season, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .256. Milwaukee has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are among the league leaders in walks.
William Contreras comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak, and he is also the team’s top hitter for the season, batting .308 with 8 homers and 46 RBIs. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 10 apiece. Both players are also looking to get their batting averages up, as Adames is hitting just .248, and Hoskins is at .230.
There are a couple of ways you could look to play this game, but we are going to recommend taking the Brewers on the money line at -103. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout being close to even money, we feel this is the best way to play it.
Looking at some of the projections, Yusei Kikuchi is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, and the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits. As for the Brewers, they are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts and 11 hits.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (-103)
- On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
