Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Blue Jays and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Monday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Blue Jays at -107.
Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. The Blue Jays are 32-33 overall, and they have won two straight, putting them 4th in the AL East. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 38-27.
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Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- In their previous ten games, Blue Jays have won 8-2 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
- 7-3 is the record of the Brewers as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing one run to the Athletics in the 2nd inning, the Blue Jays responded with two runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Yimi Garcia picked up the save for the Blue Jays, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 2/3 with five RBIs. The Blue Jays’s starter, Bowden Francis, only lasted four innings, but didnjson’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three Athletics batters.
Toronto is 32-33 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. They trail the Red Sox by a half-game for 3rd place in the AL East and are 13 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win.
So far, the Blue Jays are 8-9-4 in series this year. As the road favorite, they have gone 10-7 and have an overall record of 16-18 on the road. Toronto has been slightly better at home, going 16-15 this season. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 6-16.
The Blue Jays are 30-35 against the run line this season, but they have been better on the road, going 19-15. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 21-22 vs. the run line as the favorite. They are 9-13 vs. the run line as the underdog.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Toronto’s combined run average is 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 29-35. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-12. Only 9.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with 61.5% of their games having lower lines.
Right-hander José Berríos gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 2.80 ERA. Berríos’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and has a complete game to his credit. Berríos most recently faced the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had gone seven innings in back-to-back starts.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 16th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in strikeouts. However, they do come into the game with the 5th most walks in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the Blue Jays’ top hitter this season, batting .292 with a team-high 30 RBIs and 7 home runs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/31 (.290) over his last eight games. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also tied for the team lead in RBIs, but both are batting below .230 for the season.
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 10-2 loss on the road. The Brewers were the +145 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Tigers scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Bryse Wilson got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Milwaukee’s offense scored their other run in the 7th but was already down 10-2 at that point.
Milwaukee is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 38-27, good or 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a 6.5-game lead over the Reds for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-8 in divisional matchups this year.
The Brewers have been playing well at home, going 18-10 this year, and they are 20-17 on the road. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 19-12, and they are 19-15 as the underdog. At home, the Brewers have won five straight, and their overall series record is 12-7-2.
When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 21-16 vs. the run line on the road and 13-15 at home. They have been a better bet vs. the run line as the underdog, going 23-11, compared to 11-20 as the favorite.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 37-27. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-11. The over has hit in three straight games for Milwaukee.
Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. Rea has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.53. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that appearance out of the bullpen vs. the Phillies, he went four innings and gave up just two hits. Rea’s ERA for the season is 3.04 at home compared to 3.98 on the road. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.22 strikeouts and 3.25 walks.
William Contreras has been a key part of the Brewers offense this season, as he is batting .309, which is 2nd on the team, and his 46 RBIs are 9th in the league. Contreras is also on a four-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins has 10 homers this season but is batting just .235 and has gone 5/24 in his last seven games.
Over the team’s last eight games, Brice Turang has gone 10/28, and he is also on a three-game hitting streak. During this stretch, he has scored six runs. Overall, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game.
Our prediction for today’s Blue Jays vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -112. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. At -112, the Brewers are a solid value pick, and we would lock in this bet sooner rather than later.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Colin Rea finishing with five strikeouts compared to José Berríos with five as well. However, we have Berríos going eight innings, and Rea going seven, giving Berríos a slight edge in terms of fantasy.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
- The Brewers should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Joe Ross | Out | Back |
Devin Williams | Out | Back |
Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
DL Hall | Out | Knee |
Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |