Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 6/24/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Preview

Milwaukee comes into this one with the Rangers on a four-game winning streak, as they are 45-33 and are 1st in the NL Central. Texas is 3rd in the AL West with an overall record of 37-40. Monday’s interleague matchup has a money line odds of -163 for the Brewers and +138 for the Rangers. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

First pitch from American Family Field in Milwaukee is set for 8:10 PM ET. BSSW will be televising this one, and the Rangers are starting Michael Lorenzen. The Brewers are going with Freddy Peralta.

Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Texas Rangers odds

Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rangers have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Brewers have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Brewers are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rangers have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Rangers closed out the series with a 4-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -161. Offensively, the Rangers scored their four runs on jsonly 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Max Scherzer got the start for the Rangers, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out four Royals batters. However, the Rangers’ bullpen was the real story, as they closed things out with four scoreless innings. José Ureña picked up the save, and the Rangers also got a big game from Josh Smith, who went 1/4 with a homer.

Texas is 37-40 overall and are 6.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West and have gone just 9-14 in divisional games this year. They come into today’s game having won four straight, which includes sweeping the Royals in a three-game series.

On the road, the Rangers are 17-21 compared to 20-19 at home. As the favorite, Texas has gone 23-19 and 14-21 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 11-13-1.

Despite an average run margin of exactly zero, the Rangers are 36-41 on the run line this season. They are 17-21 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of -0.7 runs per game. Their run line record as an underdog is 19-16, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Rangers have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-46. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-8-2. So far this season, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Texas is sending right-hander Michael Lorenzen to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 3.00. Lorenzen’s WHIP for the season is 1.15. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Lorenzen finished with a no-decision vs. the Mets, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Lorenzen is that he has allowed 10 home runs this year.

Over the past 10 games, Wyatt Langford has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 13/37 (.351) with two homers and 14 RBIs. He has also put together a five-game hitting streak. Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are also on three-game hitting streaks, with Semien leading the team with 43 RBIs and Garcia sitting in the 2nd spot with 41. Corey Seager has a team-high 14 homers and is 3rd on the team with 35 RBIs.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Texas is also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 6-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the +117 underdog. It was a five-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Padres could only score two runs, both of which came in the 5th.

Tobias Myers put together a good start for the Brewers, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Sal Frelick, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Brewers also had three other players with two hits.

Milwaukee is hosting the Rangers today with an overall record of 45-33, which has them leading the NL Central by five games. So far, they have gone 18-9 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers dropped three of four in their most recent series vs. the Padres.

At home, the Brewers are 22-12 this season and have gone 23-21 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 25-15 and 20-18 as the underdog. The Brewers have won two straight at home, and their series record is 15-8-2 this year.

Despite having a positive run differential on the season, the Brewers have been a losing bet on the run line overall, going 40-38. They have been better on the run line on the road, going 25-19, compared to 15-19 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 25-13, compared to 15-25 as the favorite.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season, with the O/U record sitting at 42-33. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6, and 59% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs this season. The over has hit in their last four games.

Freddy Peralta has made 15 starts this season, and he most recently faced the Angels on June 19th. In that outing, which came on the road, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. Looking back at his last four starts, Peralta has been pretty inconsistent, as he has followed up a win with a loss in each of his last four outings. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 4.06, along with a record of 5-4. Opponents are batting .212 this season off Peralta, and his WHIP is 1.17. For the year, he has allowed 11 homers and is averaging 11.63 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. Overall, the team is batting a collective .255, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB right now.

Willy Adames comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is the team’s leader in home runs (13) and RBIs (54). He is also batting .246 for the season. Over his last five games, Adames is 7/20 with one home run and three RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also gone deep 10 times this season but is batting just .223 for the season.

Our prediction for the Rangers vs. Brewers game is to take the over, as we see the Brewers coming out on top by a final score of 5-4. However, with the money line sitting at -163, we see much more value in taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters. As for Michael Lorenzen, he is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which has him at 15th.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report