Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Rays and Brewers is set for 1:10 from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are sending Colin Rea to the mound vs. Zach Eflin for the Rays. Tampa Bay is 14-17 this season, while the Brewers are 18-11.
The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Rays are the betting favorite on the money line at -128. Looking at the Brewers, they are at +107. You can watch this one on TV on BSWI.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
- In the Brewers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- The Rays have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 1-9.
- The Brewers have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Rays by a score of 8-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Rays and struck out 13 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -182 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Tyler Alexander for the Rays. Peralta only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and two earned runs. On the other side, Alexander was tagged for three homers and six runs in four innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Brice Turang. Adames, Tyler Black, and Joey Wiemer each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay will be on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 14-17 overall. The Rays are 5th in the AL East, six games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 3-4 in AL East matchups.
The Rays dropped the first game of this series vs. the Brewers after taking the final game of their series vs. the White Sox. As the favorite, the Rays are just 10-13 this year and 4-5 as the favorite on the road. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have lost three straight series.
The Rays have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 11-20. They have been favored in 23 games and have gone just 6-17 in those contests. However, as an underdog, they have been a good bet, going 5-3 on the run line. Their average run differential in games they have won is +2.4, while in their losses, it is -4.1.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play, the Over/Under line is set at an average of 9 runs per game. The O/U line for their game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the Over/Under record for the Rays is 18-13, and their games have had an average of 8.9 runs per game. In games where the O/U line was set at 8.5 runs, the record is 6-7. This season, 41.9% of their games have had lower O/U lines than 8.5 runs.
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.08. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, Eflin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone two straight outings without giving up an earned run. Eflin has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup so far, as he is batting .291 for the season and has gone 12/34 (.353) over his last eight games, including two home runs. Paredes is also on a three-game hitting streak. Tampa Bay will need him to continue his strong play, as Randy Arozarena is batting just .143 for the season and only .103 over his last eight games.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .241. Tampa Bay’s team OPS of .661 is 20th in the MLB.
Milwaukee will host the Rays today with an overall record of 18-11, good for 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a half-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. The Brewers closed out their series vs. the Rays with a win and are 5-2-2 in series play this year.
At home, the Brewers are just 6-7 this year, but they have been very good on the road at 12-4. So far, they have gone 7-3 when playing other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has been good in day games this year, going 11-4.
When the Brewers are favored, they are just 4-10 on the run line, but as an underdog, they are 9-6. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4, while it is -3.9 in losses. They have lost two straight run line bets when favored.
The Brewers have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-11, and they have gone over the line in 12 of 16 games when the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, their games have averaged 8 runs per game, but they have had just two games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Colin Rea will be starting for the Brewers today as they host the Rays. Rea has a win on his resume already this season, but he’s coming off a no-decision in his last outing, where he gave up 5 runs to the Yankees. He has 12 strikeouts in 17 innings of work this season.
William Contreras has been a big part of the Brewers offense this season, as he is batting .345 with a team-leading 23 RBIs and is also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers. Contreras is also on a three-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, with Hoskins batting just .227 this season, but he has gone 6/18 in his last five games.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best batting average.
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +107. We are predicting a 5-4 win for the Brewers, giving you the option to also take the over or under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Colin Rea going for the Brewers and Zach Eflin for the Rays. Eflin is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Rea is predicted to finish with five.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+107)
- The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Gary Sánchez | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Devenski | Out | Knee |
| Brandon Lowe | Out | Oblique |
| Josh Lowe | Out | Oblique |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Shane Baz | Out | Elbow/Oblique |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Back |
| Jonathan Aranda | Out | Finger |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Taj Bradley | Out | Pectoral |
| Pete Fairbanks | Out | Nerve |
| Jonny DeLuca | Out | Hand |
