Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
At 7:40 PM from American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an interleague matchup between the Rays and Brewers. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Rays are 14-16 compared to the Brewers at 17-11. Tampa Bay is sending Tyler Alexander to the mound vs. Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.
Milwaukee comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -147, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSSUN.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- As the favorite, the Brewers are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rays vs Brewers series. Tampa Bay went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -105 and squeaked out a 1-0 win. The only run of the game came in the first inning, and the Brewers had their chances but stranded 12 runners and went 0/2 with runners in scoring position.
Ryan Pepiot started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued four walks. As for the Brewers, Bryse Wilson got the start and took the loss, giving up just one earned run in six innings of work.
Niko Goodrum was the difference for the Rays, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Isaac Paredes also had a two-hit game for Tampa Bay. As for the Brewers, their top hitter was Lorenzo Cain, who went 3/4.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by five games for the division lead. Overall, the Rays are 14-16 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. The Rays picked up a win in their most recent game vs. the White Sox but had dropped three straight before that.
So far, the Rays have gone 3-4 in divisional games. As the underdog, the Rays have won two straight and are 4-3 for the year as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s series record is 3-4-2, and they have dropped three straight series.
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.4. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0. They have been a good bet against the run line as the underdog, going 5-2, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.
The Tampa Bay Rays have played 25 games this season, and in 83.3% of them, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.8, and their over/under record is 17-13. The over/under line for tonight’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 7.5 runs. The Rays have gone under in their last two games, and their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs per game.
Tyler Alexander is on the mound for the Rays today as they take on the Brewers. He has started two games this season and has yet to take a loss, going 6 innings in his first start and 5 1/3 in his second. He has 12 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings pitched.
So far this season, the Rays have been one of the league’s worst offensive teams, averaging just 3.9 runs per game (22nd). They have also struggled in terms of home runs and have the 12th worst slugging percentage in the league. However, they do have a team batting average of .243, which is 12th best in the league.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his seven homers are 4th best in the league. He is also batting .283 for the season and has gone 10/32 in his last eight games. Amed Rosario has been hot of late, going 7/27 in his last seven games and is batting .320 for the season.
Milwaukee will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today as they take on the Rays. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees and dropped the first game of this series. Currently, they are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Cubs by just a half-game. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional games.
At home, the Brewers are 5-7 this year compared to 12-4 on the road. This season, they are 10-4 in day games. So far, they have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 8-5, and 9-6 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall record is 17-11, and they are 5-2-2 in series this year.
When betting the run line with the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s best to take them on the road, as they are 10-6 against the run line away from home. They are just 2-10 against the run line at home, where they have a negative run differential. They are also 3-10 against the run line as the favorite.
The Milwaukee Brewers have had a high over/under record this season, with a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-11, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-3. So far this season, 75% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Freddy Peralta is the Brewers’ starting pitcher for today’s game against the Rays. This will be his second start at home this season, and he has yet to record a decision in his first three starts. Peralta’s last time out, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 5 runs on 5 hits, but he did strike out 5 batters.
William Contreras has been a very consistent hitter for the Brewers this season, batting .348 overall and .325 over his last 10 games. He is also 2nd on the team with five homers and has driven in 22 runs, which is the best mark on the team and 7th in the league. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run list, with six and five homers, respectively. However, Hoskins is batting just .223 for the season.
Over their last 10 games, the Brewers have been swinging the bats well, as Brice Turang has gone 9/33 and Gary Sanchez is 7/19. Turang has one homer and two RBIs in this stretch, while Sanchez has two homers and four RBIs. Hoskins has also gone deep three times in his last nine games, but is batting just .235 in this stretch.
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, and with them having a higher payout on the money line compared to the over/under, we recommend taking them to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has a much better chance of picking up a win than Tyler Alexander. Peralta is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Alexander’s five.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
Devin Williams | Out | Back |
Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
DL Hall | Out | Knee |
Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Chris Devenski | Out | Knee |
Brandon Lowe | Out | Oblique |
Josh Lowe | Out | Oblique |
Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
Shane Baz | Out | Elbow/Oblique |
Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
Colin Poche | Out | Back |
Jonathan Aranda | Out | Finger |
Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
Taj Bradley | Out | Pectoral |
Pete Fairbanks | Out | Nerve |
Jonny DeLuca | Out | Hand |