Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 7:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Brewers will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the division leaders with a record of 81-58. The Cardinals are 3rd in the division at 70-69.
Wednesday’s money line odds have the Cardinals at -122 compared to the Brewers at +103. The over/under line is sitting at 8 runs, and Sonny Gray will start for the Cardinals, while the Brewers are set to go with Colin Rea.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- The Cardinals have a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 1-9 against the runline.
- The Brewers have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits in the game but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +133 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Steven Matz for the Cardinals and Aaron Civale for the Brewers. Matz only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Civale was tagged for three homers and gave up six runs in five innings of work.
Milwaukee had a late rally in this game, scoring one run in the 5th and adding three more in the 11th. However, Ryan Helsley closed things out for the Cardinals. Elvis Peguero had a rough outing out of the bullpen for the Brewers, taking the loss.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
With their record at 70-69, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. St. Louis is 20-24 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals will try to pick up a game on the Brewers today, as they are coming into the game having gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Cardinals are 36-32 this season, and they have gone 34-37 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 67 of their games, and they are 33-34 in those games. As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 37-35 this year. St. Louis’ overall series record is 22-17-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better bet as the underdog than as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 47-25 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are just 22-45. Their overall run line record is 69-70, and they have a negative run differential both at home and on the road.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 68-68. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-13-1. The over has hit in five straight games for the Cardinals.
Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Padres, he only gave up three hits and issued two walks. Looking back further, Gray had given up at least two homers in three straight outings before facing the Padres. Gray’s record for the season is 12-9, and his ERA is 3.96. Opponents are batting .219 off the right-hander this season. For the year, Gray has made 25 starts, 11 of which were quality starts. His ERA on the road is 5.97 compared to 2.82 at home.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on fire for the Cardinals of late, going 19/36 in his last nine games, with two homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in home runs, as he and Alec Burleson are both tied for the top spot with 21 homers. Burleson is also hitting .278 for the season, and his 73 RBIs are the best on the team.
As a team, the Cardinals are batting .249, which is 10th in the MLB, and they are averaging 4.2 runs per game. St. Louis has been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 18th in home runs and have the 17th best slugging percentage in the league.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 81-58 overall and have gone 30-18 in divisional games this year. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games and are coming off a series loss to the Giants.
As the home team, the Brewers are 41-26 this year and 40-32 on the road. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a record of 47-33. They are also 34-25 as the underdog this year. The Brewers have won three straight series and are 24-15-4 in series overall this year.
When the Brewers win, they win big. They have an average run margin of +3.7 runs per game in their victories, but they have a run line record of just 33-34 at home, which is a stark contrast to their 39-33 run line record on the road. They are 40-19 against the run line as an underdog, but just 32-48 as a favorite.
Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ home game against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season and have gone over the total in 74 of their 130 games. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-11-4. The over has hit in two straight games for Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Reds. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Rea finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came vs. the Guardians, where he pitched seven scoreless innings. Rea’s ERA for the season is 3.70, along with a record of 12-4. Opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander this season.
Over the past five games, Jackson Chourio has been on fire for the Brewers, going 9/20 with three homers and seven RBIs. Willy Adames has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/27 with five homers and 12 RBIs over his last six games. Adames is also on a 12-game hitting streak heading into today’s game.
Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 29 homers are 9th in the league and leads the Brewers. He also comes into the game with a team-high 100 RBIs. William Contreras has also been a key run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 80 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is batting .278.
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, and with them coming in at +103 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts, which has him as the 12th highest among starters today. As for the Brewers’ starter, Colin Rea, we have him finishing with six strikeouts as well, but with him coming in at ninth among starters, there is some better value in the Brewers’ starter.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Bryse Wilson | Out | Oblique |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Nick Mears | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
