Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
Monday’s Cardinals vs. Brewers game has a first pitch set for 2:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 80-57 and are starting Freddy Peralta, while the Cardinals are 69-68 and Andre Pallante is starting for them. Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 3rd in the division.
The over/under line for Monday’s matchup is currently at 8 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Cardinals at +145. St. Louis has won two straight heading into the game. MLBN is carrying this one on TV.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Brewers have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The Cardinals have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 14-7 win. After allowing seven runs to the Yankees in the 2nd inning, the Cardinals responded with a four-run 2nd of their own. St. Louis went on to add another five runs in the 4th inning.
JoJo Romero picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals, and St. Louis’s offense was carried by Jordan Walker, who went 5/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
St. Louis is 69-68 overall and 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. The Cardinals are 19-23 against other NL Central teams heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. They have won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees.
At home, the Cardinals are 36-32 this season, and they are 33-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 36-34 this year, and they are 33-34 when favored. St. Louis’ overall series record is 22-17-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 34-35. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 46-24. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while in losses it is -3.5.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Cardinals have gone over the total in 66 of their 134 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 9-13-1. The over has hit in three straight games for the Cardinals.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Andre Pallante to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.80. Pallante’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and he has allowed a total of six home runs. In his last outing, Pallante finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has made five quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Pallante is averaging 6.63 strikeouts and 3.41 walks.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on fire for the Cardinals, going 11/20 in his last five games, but he is still looking for his first home run during that stretch. Overall, Goldschmidt is 2nd on the team with 20 homers. Alec Burleson has gone deep 21 times this season, which is the best mark on the team, and he is also hitting .282. Brendan Donovan and Iván Herrera are both on four-game hitting streaks.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and have an OPS of just .706. However, they do have the 10th best batting average in the MLB this season.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 11th before the Reds scored a run to pick up the win. Milwaukee was the -131 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Willy Adames, who went 1/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Milwaukee comes into today’s game vs. the Cardinals with an overall record of 80-57, good for 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cubs by 9.0 games for the top spot in the division. The Brewers are 29-17 against other teams in the NL Central.
The Brewers have been tough to beat at home this season, going 40-25. They have been equally as good on the road, putting together a record of 40-32. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite this year, going 46-32 and 34-25 as the underdog. Looking at how they have performed in series, the Brewers have an overall mark of 24-15-4 and have won three straight series.
When the Brewers win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 3.6 runs. They are 71-66 against the run line this season, and they are 32-33 at home. As an underdog, they are 40-19 against the run line this season.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.8 runs. The Brewers’ over/under record for the season is 72-56, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-11-4. Overall, 78 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 56.9% of their games, while 34 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, making up 24.8% of their games.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Giants, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and three hits. Looking back further, Peralta has made 27 starts, and his record for the season is 9-7. Peralta’s ERA is 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.19. This year, he has pitched better at home, coming in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.10. On the road, his ERA is 3.88.
Willy Adames has been on a tear for the Brewers of late, going 10/31 with five homers and seven runs scored over his last seven games. Adames’ 28 homers this season is 9th in the league and leads the Brewers. He is also 5th in the MLB with 96 RBIs. Overall, the Brewers offense is 5th in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in on-base percentage, 7th in batting average, and have the 2nd best team BABIP in the league. Milwaukee also has the 11th best slugging percentage in the league. William Contreras has been a good surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .281 with 20 homers and 80 RBIs.
Our prediction for this one is that the Brewers will pick up a 5-4 win over the Cardinals. However, with the Brewers being -172 on the money line, we are actually going to recommend taking the over, as we have the total score at 9 runs and the line is currently sitting at 8.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for Andre Pallante, he is actually projected to finish with just five K’s, which is the second-lowest.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
Nick Mears | Out | Forearm |
Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |