Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers is set for 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. St. Louis will be sending Sonny Gray to the mound, while the Brewers are countering with Tobias Myers. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line (-127).
St. Louis comes in with a record of 15-21, and they are currently in 5th place in the NL Central. As for the Brewers, they are 21-15 and are 1st in the division. This game can be seen on BSWI.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- In the Brewers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals are 3-7 straight-up and 2-8 vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 7-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Mets scored six runs in the top of the 5th. St. Louis was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.
Miles Mikolas had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Alec Burleson, who went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
St. Louis is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Brewers and snap their four-game losing streak. The Cardinals are 15-21 overall and trail the Brewers by six games in the NL Central. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. a division opponent (0-3).
The Cardinals have lost four straight as the favorite, and they are 8-11 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 7-10. St. Louis is just 6-11 at home but has gone 9-10 on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 5-7 and dropped their last series vs. the Mets.
The Cardinals have a run line record of 18-18 this season, including a 10-9 mark on the road. They have been outscored by an average of 1.0 runs per game overall, with an average run differential of -0.6 runs per game on the road. As the underdog, they are 11-6 against the run line.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-22. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 1-4-1, and the average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 30.6% have had lower lines.
Sonny Gray is on the mound for the Cardinals today, and he has started the season with a pair of wins. He started the year with a win over the Brewers, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out 12. He followed that up with a win over the Mets, striking out 9. He has only given up 1 home run this season.
St. Louis will be looking for more offense today, as they come into the game with the league’s worst home run total and are 29th in the league in runs scored. Overall, they are averaging only 3.5 runs per game, and their team batting average of .218 is also near the bottom of the league. One thing the Cardinals have done well is draw walks, as they are 15th in the league in that category.
Nolan Arenado comes into the game with a team-high 20 RBIs and is batting .287 for the season. He has also been hot of late, going 10/29 in his last eight games. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are both tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Donovan is batting just .223 for the season, and Gorman is hitting only .175.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Royals scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Milwaukee was the +101 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Joe Ross had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on just three hits and issuing two walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss out of thejson Brewers. Gary Sanchez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Brewers also had a big 3rd inning, with Brice Turang scoring their other run and going 3/4.
Milwaukee is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 21-15, which has them tied with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers and Cubs are currently tied for the division lead, and the Brewers are 8-5 in divisional games this year. They closed out their series vs. the Royals with a loss and are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Brewers are 7-7 this year and have gone 14-8 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 12-9 this year and 9-6 as the favorite. They have won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 6-4-2.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 14-8 compared to just 4-10 at home. They have covered the run line in 14 of 21 games as the underdog, but are just 4-11 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-15. The over has hit in their last two games, and they have gone over the total in 63.9% of their games this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8 runs, which is right at their season average. When the line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Brewers have gone 0-3 to the over.
After starting the season with a loss to the Pirates and a no-decision against the Yankees, Tobias Myers is still looking for his first win of the season. He is coming off a start against the Cubs in which he went 3 innings, allowing 4 runs on 3 hits, and he has 11 strikeouts in 13 innings of work so far.
William Contreras has been a consistent threat at the plate for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .329 and has driven in 29 runs, which is 6th best in the league. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with seven homers, with Adames batting .257 and Hoskins at just .218. Christian Yelich is also a threat in the lineup, as he is batting .295 with five homers.
Adames is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has four homers in his last 10 games, but he is just 9/39 in that stretch. The Brewers will be looking for Hoskins to get going, as he is just 3/22 in his last seven games and is batting just .218 for the season.
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line at +106. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8 runs, you could also look to take the over, as we have this one going over that line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the highest projection among all starters. As for Tobias Myers, we have him finishing with four K’s, which is ninth among starters.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+106)
- On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Freddy Peralta | Out | Suspension |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Joey Wiemer | Out | Knee |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Carpenter | Out | Oblique |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Arm |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
