Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Giants and Brewers is set to get started at 2:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The Giants are 67-67 this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 76-56.
Milwaukee is the money line favorite for today’s game, with the odds sitting at -135 compared to the Giants at +115. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSWI.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – San Francisco Giants odds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Brewers have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- The Giants have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Giants put up a good fight in the last game of this series against the Brewers. San Francisco had a big 5th inning, scoring all three of their runs, but could only muster one more hit and two more baserunners the rest of the game. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 5th and picked up a 5-3 win.
Freddy Peralta started for the Brewers and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Kyle Harrison got the start for the Giants and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
William Contreras and Blake Perkins each had two hits and two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense. Thairo Estrada and Tyler Fitzgerald were the only two Giants hitters to have more than one hit.
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
At 67-67, the Giants are 12.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Overall, they have gone 21-19 in divisional games this season. The Giants will be on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are 29-39 on the road this year.
San Francisco has been good at home, going 38-28 this season. The Giants have been pretty good as the favorite this year, putting up a record of 42-30. As the underdog on the road, the Giants are 17-28 this year. They are also 21-17-4 in series this year, and they are currently tied with the Brewers.
San Francisco has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 38-30. The Giants have a run line record of 67-67 overall, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-25. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.
San Francisco is on the road against Milwaukee, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The Giants have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-60. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-8. So far this season, 14.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Hayden Birdsong gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and 10 appearances. Birdsong’s record for the season is 3-3, and he comes into the game with an ERA of 4.57. Opponents have put together a batting average of .212 against Birdsong this season. In his 45 1/3 innings of work, he has one quality start and is averaging 10.72 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s ERA on the road is 7.31, compared to 4.49 at home.
Heliot Ramos has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Giants, going 9/26 in his last seven games, including two home runs. He also has seven RBIs during that stretch. Ramos is currently 2nd on the team with 20 homers and is batting .284 for the season. Matt Chapman leads the Giants with 21 homers and is batting .246.
As a team, the Giants are 17th in the league in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. This is also where they sit in terms of home runs, with a collective batting average of .242 (11th). San Francisco’s offense is also 14th in both slugging and OPS. Currently, Ramos is on a three-game hitting streak.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by 9.0 games over the Cubs, and they are 76-56 overall. The Brewers are 26-16 in divisional games this year, and they will be hosting the Giants today with an overall record of 39-25 at home. So far on the road, the Brewers are 37-31 this season.
The Brewers have an overall series record of 23-15-4 this year, and they are 30-16 as the home favorite. As the favorite overall, the Brewers are 43-31 and 33-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee is 6-4 across their last 10 games and are currently tied in their series vs. the Giants.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.8 runs per game. They are 69-63 against the run line this season, including 31-33 at home. They are 38-30 against the run line on the road and 39-19 as underdogs. Their average run differential this season is +0.8 runs per game.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over has hit in 26 of 46 games (56.5%). The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game at home this season. Overall, the over has hit in 70 of their 124 games this season (56.5%).
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Giants at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 4.84. Civale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Civale finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .261 off Civale this season, and he has allowed a total of 24 home runs.
Heading into today’s game, Willy Adames is on a five-game hitting streak and is leading the Brewers in both home runs and RBIs. He is also 13th in the league in RBIs and has a batting average of .253. Adames has two homers over his last eight games but is batting just .250 over that stretch. William Contreras is also a player to watch, as he is batting .283 for the season and has 18 homers.
Overall, the Brewers are 9th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and are one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .253 is 5th in the league, and they are also one of the best teams in terms of getting on base.
Our predicted final score for this Giants and Brewers matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. Given the payout, we recommend taking the Brewers on the money line, where the payout is -135.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Aaron Civale finishing with five strikeouts, which has him finishing 10th among all starters. As for Hayden Birdsong, we do have him finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for third.
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Nick Mears | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Patrick Bailey | Out | Oblique |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
