Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 8:10 PM ET, the Giants and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -105 compared to the Giants at -114. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Logan Webb is starting for the Giants, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers. San Francisco is 66-66 and is 4th in the NL West, while the Brewers are 75-55 and are 1st in the NL Central. BSWI is carrying this game on TV.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Giants are 2-3. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over the last ten games, Giants has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 2-8 when playing as underdogs.
- In their last ten games, the Brewers have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 7-3 as the underdog.
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mariners scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. San Francisco was the +118 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Robbie Ray was good for the Giants, going three innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Giants couldnjson’t close things out, and Sean Hjelle took the loss out of the bullpen. The Giants also wasted a big game from Heliot Ramos, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/4.
San Francisco is on the road today to take on the Brewers with an overall record of 66-66. In the NL West, they are in 4th place, 12.5 games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 21-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Giants have gone 38-28 this season, and they are just under .500 at 28-38 on the road. San Francisco has been good as the favorite this year, going 42-30 and 24-36 as the underdog. They are 21-17-4 in series this year.
The Giants have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 66-66 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 37-29 ATS. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 36-24 ATS as an underdog this season.
San Francisco is on the road in Milwaukee, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Giants games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 67-60. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Giants have gone over 26 times and under 22 times. Overall, 52.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.13 ERA. Webb’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 7.61 strikeouts per nine innings. Webb’s most recent outing came against the White Sox, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in eight innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are both tied for the team lead with 20 home runs this season. Ramos is batting .284 for the season, while Chapman comes in with a batting average of .242. Chapman’s 63 RBIs are the 2nd most in the lineup, and Ramos is the team’s current leader in RBIs. Tyler Fitzgerald is also near the top of the Giants’ home run leaderboard, as he has gone deep 14 times while batting .298.
Over his last six games, Ramos has gone 8/22 with five runs scored and two homers. During this stretch, he also has seven RBIs. Grant McCray is currently on a three-game hitting streak for the Giants.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Athletics scored four runs in the bottom of the 4th. Milwaukee was the -145 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Franke Montas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Gary Sánchez, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/2.
Milwaukee is at home today for their matchup vs. the Giants, and they lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers’ overall record is 75-55, and they are 26-16 in divisional games this year.
As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 42-30 and 33-25 as the underdog. At home, they are 38-24 compared to 37-31 on the road. Milwaukee has won five straight games at home, and they are 9-9 as the home underdog this year. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers won their last two games vs. the Athletics and are 7-3 over their last 10.
The Brewers have been a good run line bet this season, going 68-62 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 38-30. As the underdog, they are 39-19 against the run line, compared to 29-43 as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play the San Francisco Giants at home today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 69-54. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 21-8. The over/under line for their games has been set at 7.5 runs in 96 of their games this season, accounting for 73.8% of their games.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Giants. Myers has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.87. He has pitched well this year, with opponents batting .229. Myers’ last outing came on August 21st, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Myers has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 17 homers and Adames leading the team with 23 long balls. Adames’ 86 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Adames is also on a three-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last nine games.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They come into the game with a team batting average of .253, which is 6th in the league. Overall, they are 2nd in on-base percentage and have the 2nd best BABIP in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -105. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, there isn’t a ton of wiggle room, but if you’re looking for a prediction, we would take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Logan Webb going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Brewers starter Tobias Myers, he is projected to go five innings and finish with five K’s.
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Devin Williams | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Nick Mears | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Patrick Bailey | Out | Oblique |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
