Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/29/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Preview

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, with the under paying out at -110 compared to -110 for the over. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Colin Rea. New York is 87-72, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at +104.

First pitch from American Family Field is set for 3:10 PM ET, and BSWI will be televising this NL matchup. The Brewers are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 1st in the NL Central, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East. New York is -123 on the money line compared to +104 for the Brewers.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 0-5 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets are 6-4 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
• As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 6-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out 18 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -109 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jared Koenig for the Brewers and Jose Quintana for the Mets. Koenig only went one inning but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. On the other side, Quintana was tagged for two homers and five runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Joey Ortiz, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 87-72 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York has lost three straight games, and they dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 29-21 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are 46-35 this year, and they are just above .500 at 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-39 this year, and they are 29-33 when picked to lose. New York has dropped five straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 28-18-8.

When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 42-36 for the season, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. They have been favored in 97 of their games this season and have a run line record of 44-53 in those games. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 36-26.

The Mets are on the road today against the Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 80-74. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Mets have a record of 15-9-1. Overall, 51.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .244 this year, and he has a total of 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Peterson took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had gone 7 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.13 compared to 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 10th best team batting average in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him at 31. Alonso also leads the team with 88 RBIs, while Lindor is 3rd on the team in RBIs. Over his last five games, Jose Iglesias has gone 8/19, and he is currently on a 19-game hitting streak.

Milwaukee is closing in on the NL Central division title, leading the Cubs by 10 games with an overall record of 93-68. The Brewers have taken three straight games overall, and they have gone 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers are 47-33 this year and 46-35 on the road.

As the home underdog, the Brewers are 12-12 this season, and they are 39-30 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 54-38. The Brewers have won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 29-18-4 this year.

At home, the Brewers have a run line record of 37-43, but they have covered the run line in two straight games. The average run margin in their wins is 3.6, while in their losses, it is -2.9. As an underdog, they have a run line record of 46-23, compared to 36-56 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing the New York Mets at home today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 81-70. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-13-5. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today and comes in with a record of 12-5 and an ERA of 4.17. Rea has made 26 starts this year and has turned in eight quality starts. One of those quality starts came in his most recent outing, where he went 4 innings and didn’t give up an earned run. Rea’s ERA at home is 3.98 compared to 4.73 on the road. Looking back over his last three outings, Rea has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has only allowed one homer in each of those outings.

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks. The Brewers have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, coming in at 15th in the league.

Willy Adames has been the team’s top power threat this season, as he is 11th in the league with 32 homers and is 4th in the league with 112 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, but he is hitting just .214 for the season. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .281 and has gone deep 23 times this season.

Our pick for today’s Mets vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +104. We actually have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 7-6.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have David Peterson finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters. As for Colin Rea, we have him finishing with six K’s, which has him down in 15th.

Offensively, our projections have the Mets finishing with 10 total strikeouts compared to the Brewers with 11. The Mets do have a higher projected home run total, but overall, we have the Brewers finishing with more hits.

As for a final score, we have the Brewers coming out on top 7-6.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report