Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/28/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Preview

Jose Quintana is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Jared Koenig for the Brewers. This one gets started at 7:15 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The forecast looks good for Saturday’s matchup, with temperatures in the mid-60s and partly cloudy skies.

The Brewers are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 92-68 overall, while the Mets are 87-71 and are second in the NL East. Milwaukee is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. FOX is carrying this game on TV.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Mets in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Mets have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.

Milwaukee got off to a fast start in this one, scoring four runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mets got on the board with two runs in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 8th.

Rhys Hoskins and Gary Sanchez each homered for the Brewers, while Mark Vientos went deep for the Mets. Brice Turang had a three-hit game at the plate and scored three times for Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 87-71 overall this season, putting them six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. They have dropped two straight games, with the most recent being the series opener vs. the Brewers. New York’s division record is 29-21 this season.

At home, the Mets have gone 46-35, and they are above .500 on the road, entering today’s game with a 41-36 record. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-38 this year, and they are 29-33 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 28-18-8.

When the Mets are the favorite, they are 44-52 against the run line, but they are 36-26 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game, but in their wins, it jumps to +3.7 runs per game. They are 80-78 against the run line overall, but they are 42-35 against the run line on the road. Their road scoring differential is +0.3 runs per game, compared to +0.6 runs per game at home. They are currently on a two-game run line losing streak on the road.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Mets have played in games with an average of 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-73. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-9-1. Overall, 51.3% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

New York starter Jose Quintana has been on a roll, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Nationals on September 18th, where he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he only gave up two hits and two walks. Quintana’s ERA for the season is 3.74, along with a record of 10-9. Opponents are batting .231 off the left-hander this year. Out of his 30 starts, Quintana has 12 quality starts, and his ERA on the road is 4.91.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both been big run producers for the Mets this season, as Alonso leads the team with 88 RBIs, and Lindor is 3rd on the team with 86. Alonso’s 34 homers are 9th in the league and the best mark on the team, while Lindor is 2nd on the team with 31 homers. Lindor is batting .273 this season, and Alonso comes in with a batting average of .242.

Over his last eight games, Mark Vientos has gone 8/31 with three homers, and he also has an eight-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Jose Iglesias has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 15/33 in his last eight games. Francisco Alvarez and Brandon Nimmo have also hit three homers in their last seven games, with Alvarez batting .278 and Nimmo just .207.

The Brewers are 92-68 overall and lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cardinals. Milwaukee has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 32-20 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Brewers are 46-33 this season and 46-35 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 54-38 this season and 38-30 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 29-18-4 and have won five straight series on the road.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.9 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 81-79, and they are 45-36 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 45-23 against the run line, compared to 36-56 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are hosting the New York Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 81-69. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-13-5. Overall, 52.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 28.1% have had lower lines.

Milwaukee is starting left-hander Jared Koenig today vs. the Mets. He has made 54 appearances this season and has a record of 9-4 with a 2.51 ERA. Koenig’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .221 vs. Koenig this season. Out of his 61 innings of work, Koenig has allowed just four home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Koenig went one inning out of the bullpen vs. the Pirates, giving up one earned run on one hit. He didn’t issue a walk in that outing. Koenig’s record for the season is 5-2 at home, and his ERA at home is 3.86.

Heading into the game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks.

Willy Adames has been a key power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 home runs are 10th in the league and the top mark on the team. He also comes into the game with the 4th most RBIs in the league at 111. Adames is batting .250 for the season. Rhys Hoskins is 2nd on the team with 26 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .215.

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Brewers matchup is that the Brewers will pick up a 7-6 win at home. Given that they are at -121 on the money line, this is the best way to play this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jared Koenig is projected to have a good outing, with a predicted seven strikeouts. As for Jose Quintana, he is projected to finish with just five K’s, and his Mets team is projected to have him with a 5.40 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report