Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 7/28/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Preview

Milwaukee comes into this one with a record of 59-45 and they are currently on a two-game losing streak. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 39-66.

BSFL will be televising this matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup has Kyle Tyler for the Marlins and Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Milwaukee is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -208, while the Marlins are +173.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Marlins have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• In the Brewers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Brewers have won 3-7 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• The Marlins have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 9-1 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Miami picked up a 7-3 road win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Brewers, they scored three of their runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +144 on the money line.

Max Meyer only went four innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Bryan Hoeing got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Civale went 5 1/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Miami’s offense was led by Josh Bell and Jesús Sánchez, as they were the only two Marlins hitters to have more than one hit. Bell, Jake Burger, and Nick Fortes each had two RBIs for Miami’s lineup.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is 39-66 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 26.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 9-21 this year. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they have taken a 2-0 series lead over the Brewers heading into today’s game.

At home, the Marlins are just 22-34 this year, but they have gone 17-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 35-53 this year, and they have won two straight games as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 9-21-3.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Marlins have been a solid play this season. They are 50-55 overall, including 25-24 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 48-40 as an underdog. Miami has been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game this season.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Marlins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 58-45, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 18-16. Miami has been on a six-game over streak, and 16.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Kyle Tyler and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Brewers. Tyler has started 4 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. He has taken a loss and has 2 no-decisions. In his last start, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs on 5 hits and struck out 9. He has given up 3 homers this season.

Josh Bell has been on a tear for the Marlins, going 10/21 in his last five games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .239, but his 14 homers is the 2nd most on the team. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with both players having 50 RBIs. De La Cruz’s 18 homers is the best mark on the team and 14th best in the league.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their team batting average of .237 is 14th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Miami’s team ISO of .125 is the worst in the MLB.

With an overall record of 59-45, the Brewers lead the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and this comes with losing the series to the Marlins 0-2. So far, they have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 29-19 this season and have gone 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 33-24 this year and 26-21 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 19-11-3, and they have won two straight series.

When playing at home, the Brewers are 23-25 against the run line, and their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. They are 54-50 overall vs. the run line, and their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 32-15 vs. the run line, and their average run margin is +3.4 runs per game in wins and -2.8 runs per game in losses.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Milwaukee is 56-44, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 23-17, and 20.2% of their games have had a line set at 8.5 runs. Their over streak is at 2 games.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Myers has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 3.14. Looking at his overall numbers, Myers has a WHIP of 1.15 and has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Myers took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Cubs and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Myers’ ERA on the road is 3.01, compared to 4.31 at home.

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 4th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks. Milwaukee’s offense has been very good at putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s 2nd best BABIP.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Adames hitting 16 homers and Hoskins at 17. However, Hoskins is batting just .215, and Adames isn’t much better at .247. William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .288 and is on a five-game hitting streak.

Our predicted final score for this Marlins vs. Brewers matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins. Given that the Marlins are the underdogs on the money line at +173, this is the bet we would recommend making.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Tyler lasting nine innings, and he is projected to finish with five strikeouts. As for Tobias Myers, his strikeout total is six, and he is predicted to go seven innings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+173)
• The Marlins are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report