Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Dodgers and Brewers is set to get started at 2:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Dodgers are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -152, while the Brewers are at +128. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
SNLA will be televising this Dodgers-Brewers matchup, and Jack Flaherty will be on the mound for the Dodgers. The Brewers are starting Tobias Myers, and they are 1st in the NL Central, while the Dodgers are leading the NL West with a record of 71-50.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Dodgers have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 5-5.
- As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Dodgers series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -104 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Brewers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their first run in the 7th and added three more in the 9th, falling just short.
Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going just five innings while giving up five hits and striking out six. Joel Payamps got the win out of the bullpen, and Devin Williams got the save. Walker Buehler only went 3 1/3 innings for the Dodgers, giving up one run on three hits.
In terms of offense, the Brewers actually had fewer hits than the Dodgers in the game 5 to 9. Milwaukee’s two homers were the difference, as they scored three more runs than the Dodgers in the 2nd and never looked back. Jake Bauers and Jackson Chourio each homered for the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is 71-50 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 2.5 games over the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers are 21-18 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 38-22, and they have gone 33-28 on the road.
This season, the Dodgers have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 67-40. As the underdog, Los Angeles is just 4-10 this year. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 22-17-1, and they are currently up 2-1 in their series vs. the Brewers.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 59-62 against the run line this season. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 31-30 against the run line, compared to 28-32 at home. They are also 53-54 against the run line as the favorite, compared to 6-8 as the underdog.
Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Dodgers have played 120 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 64-56, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Dodgers’ games have gone over the total 6 times and under 12 times. Overall, 67.8% of their games this season have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.
Jack Flaherty has been pitching well for the Dodgers, as he has a record of 9-5 and an ERA of 2.97. In his 20 starts, Flaherty has pitched 118 1/3 innings and has a WHIP of 1.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Flaherty has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 11.41 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, but he still got the win. Before that, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in three straight outings.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the best power hitters in the league this season, as his 37 homers are 2nd in the MLB. Ohtani is also batting .295 on the season and leads the Dodgers with 86 RBIs. However, Ohtani has struggled of late, going just 4/34 in his last eight games. Teoscar Hernandez is also a power threat in the lineup, as his 26 homers are 10th in the league.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the league. The Dodgers have been very patient at the plate this season, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central with an overall record of 68-52. They hold an 8.5-game lead over the Cardinals and are 25-14 in divisional matchups. The Brewers have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and are 1-2 in this series vs. the Dodgers.
At home, the Brewers are 34-24 this season and have been good on the road, going 34-28. As the favorite, Milwaukee has put together a record of 38-28 this season. When coming in as the underdog, they are 30-24, and this year, they have an overall series record of 21-14-3.
When it comes to the run line, the Brewers have been a solid bet this season, going 62-58 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 35-27 against the run line compared to 27-31 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 36-18 against the run line, compared to 26-40 as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, with a +1.0 run differential on the road and a +0.6 run differential at home. In their wins, they are winning by an average of 3.6 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of -2.8 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 65-49 on the season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Brewers have a record of 8-9-2. In 60.0% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. Myers has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.79. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.07 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recent outing came on August 10th vs. the Reds, where he went 7 1/3 innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up three hits and didn’t issue a walk. Myers has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.
As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee’s offense has been led by Willy Adames and William Contreras, who have 21 and 15 homers, respectively.
Over his last 10 games, Jackson Chourio has gone 14/41 with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season batting average up to .283. Willy Adames has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/38 with four homers in this stretch. Adames is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Our predicted final score for today’s Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup is a 6-5 win for the Brewers. With the Brewers being the underdog, you can get them on the money line at +128, which is our recommended pick for this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Tobias Myers, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which puts him in the middle of the pack.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
Blake Perkins | Out | Calf |
Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
Trevor Megill | Out | Back |
Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
Blake Treinen | Out | Hip |
Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |